Mexico and England will face each other in the Round of 16 for a place in the quarter-finals of the tournament, with the co-hosts playing at home at the Estadio Azteca on Monday, July 6, at 10:00 AEST.

Mexico have been impressive when playing at home, beating Ecuador 2-0 in the Round of 32 to secure their place. 

England, meanwhile, had to get themselves out of trouble in the second half against DR Congo, winning 2-1 after going a goal down.

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Quick Picks

Our pick: England to win

Value bet: Over 2.5 Goals

Long shot: England to win 2-1

Mexico vs England prediction

The moneyline odds have England as the pre-match favourites in this upcoming clash, although that might mean there is value in Mexico as potential underdogs in their own back garden. 

As our Mexico vs England betting odds page shows, the market leans towards England, but the underdog price could hold appeal.

Javier Aguirre’s side have played three of their four games in Mexico City so far, winning each of them without conceding a goal. El Tri have been exceptional throughout, as they have a 100% record and have yet to concede a goal.

However, what may favour them when playing at this stadium is that they are playing at high altitude; something many of England’s team won’t be used to.

Add in that the Three Lions have been far from their best and have needed the second half in most of their games to get things going and win, and Thomas Tuchel’s side could be in big trouble.

Still, we think England have enough quality in their squad to get the job done. Quality-wise, Croatia is arguably the most talented nation that England has faced so far, and they stepped up with a big performance in that one. 

Against the “lesser” nations, they’ve found it tough.

Our prediction is likely to be an England win.

For a bit of context on this stage, have a squiz at the full World Cup betting odds, and if you're eyeing off free credit, it pays to know how bonus bets work before you get involved.

Mexico vs England score prediction

Despite Mexico being yet to concede a goal, we think this is a game in which their sturdy defence will finally be broken.

While Harry Kane is the talisman, England do have the potential for goals throughout the squad. Given the conditions likely to be faced in Mexico City; the high altitude and hostility could make the early stages uncomfortable. 

But should they weather an expected early storm, Kane, Jude Bellingham, Marcus Rashford, Bukayo Saka, Anthony Gordon and others could turn the screw.

We think the ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has a good chance of hitting, as we think the BTTS also has a good chance of hitting. 

With it being knockout soccer, we think both teams could look to go for a win, especially if the tie is levelled at some point.

We think Mexico scoring first offers value as England had to come from behind against DR Congo, and the conditions will suit the hosts. 

They’ll likely be on the front foot from the beginning, putting immense pressure on Tuchel’s side.

We think there’s value in England winning 2-1 as a correct score.

Since this is a knockout clash between two unknown qualifiers, it's worth brushing up on how to bet on the World Cup and getting your head around what a multi bet actually is before you lock anything in for the semi-final stage.

Player markets to watch

Kane continues to be the main man for England, having netted a brace against DR Congo in the previous round to advance to the Round of 16. 

Before that, he had three goals across his three Group Stage matches, including two against Croatia.

This would suggest that he has value in the ‘to score 2+ goals’ market, as the forward often comes up big in some of the games that have the most pressure around them.

For Mexico, Raul Jimenez has good value as an anytime goalscorer. 

He is one of Mexico’s leading men and will know England’s defence extremely well after spending several years in the Premier League and playing against many of them. He has two goals in three games, and could have had a first-half hat-trick in Mexico City against Ecuador.

The other scorer in that tie was Julian Quinones, who also has value to net anytime. He has been impressive in the tournament so far. 

His value is perhaps in the ‘To Score or Assist’, as he has three goals and one assist in four games.

Mexico vs England Match Details

Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026.

Kick-off: 2:00am AEST.

Location: Estadio Azteca, Mexico City.

Where to watch: Sportsbet, SBS.

Where to Mexico vs England

For the first time ever, Sportsbet is offering punters the chance to stream World Cup matches live*.

To watch Sportsbet's live streams of the World Cup, you must:

- Be 18+.

- Have a Sportsbet account.

- Be logged into your Sportsbet account.

- Have a positive balance OR have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

World Cup streaming is available both in-app and on-web. As long as you meet the above requirements, you'll be able to tune in on your computer, tablet or phone.

To access the stream for Mexico vs England simply find your way to the official betting page for this match. Or, if you have a bet on the game you can watch from your "My Bets" section.

Traditional World Cup broadcaster SBS is also showing every World Cup match, meaning you can also watch Mexico vs England on either SBS, SBS Viceland or SBS On Demand.

*18+ Available to Sportsbet customers only. Conditions apply – see sportsbet.com.au

*Odds are subject to change.