Paraguay will be looking to shock the world again when they take on another European soccer powerhouse in the Round of 16. 

They will take on France on Sunday, July 6, at 07:00 AEST.

Led by Gustavo Alfaro, the South Americans recorded one of the biggest upsets in the tournament so far by eliminating Germany in a penalty shootout. 

They rode their luck, and now they’ll need a bucketload of luck again.

They’ll take on 2022 runners-up France, after Didier Deschamps’ side overcame Sweden with a comfortable 3-0 victory.

To celebrate the momentous occasion that is the World Cup, Sportsbet is bringing back its exclusive Super Sub feature!

How does Super Sub work? Well, it’s very simple. 

Place a bet on select player markets throughout the Men’s World Cup and if that player is subbed off your bet rolls over to the new player that replaced them.

For example, if you’ve bet on Kylian Mbappe to score during one of France’s matches and during that match he fails to do so and is directly substituted for Jean-Philippe Mateta who ends up scoring instead, your original bet on Mbappe is paid as a winner!

Super Sub is not exclusive to goalscoring markets either, it also applies to anytime assist, player to win one or more fouls, shots on target and more, just make sure to read all the T&Cs before locking in your bet.

Quick Picks

Our pick: France to win

Value bet: Mbappe first goalscorer

Long shot: BTTS to hit

Paraguay vs France prediction

France are one of the favourites to win the tournament outright, which is why their odds in the moneyline are extremely short for this game. 

As our Paraguay vs France page shows, Paraguay are going to have to put another performance of their lives if they are to likely get the result they need to advance from this one.

Furthermore, Les Bleus have an exceptional record in this tournament. Including qualifiers, France have won each of their last six matches. 

They’ve hardly been challenged so far in this edition, and have looked mightily comfortable whenever they’ve taken to the pitch.

Expect to see Paraguay look to play a low block and try to hit on the counter throughout the game, but with the quality the UEFA nation has across the squad, it’d be a real shock not to see them win.

Our prediction is that France is likely to win.

Since this one's a knockout tie, it's worth brushing up on how to bet on the World Cup before locking anything in, and if you fancy stringing a few legs together, our rundown on what a multi bet is is a handy read.

Paraguay vs France score prediction

This is where things begin to look a little more interesting in the betting, and where there may be value to explore.

The goals market is always popular with bettors, but this one could offer more value in the smaller totals than the higher ones. 

Paraguay have shown that they can be a stubborn force, especially after sorting themselves out defensively following their huge defeat in the opening game against the USA.

While France have the means to attack relentlessly and pepper their goal with frequent chances, the value in the ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market looks attractive.

The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market has hit in each of Paraguay's last eight tournament matches against UEFA nations. 

France have hit above this total in each of their four games so far, but the South Americans’ stubbornness is something that could be very difficult for the French to break down.

Alternatively, the BTTS hitting has good value if you’re looking at both teams, although it may be a long shot. 

The 'Both Teams to Score' market has failed to hit in each of Paraguay's four previous Round of 16 matches, while France have kept two clean sheets so far.

Paraguay have scored in three of their four matches so far, suggesting they can find the net, but they may need some help via defensive errors or world class finishing.

We think the France 2-0 correct score has good value of hitting. France has won three of its last four knockout stage matches as a favourite against teams from a different region by this result.

Player markets to watch

It’s impossible not to look at the combination of Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise for France at this tournament. Both have been on fire, whether it be scoring or providing goals.

Mbappe could be worth a look in the ‘First Goalscorer’ market. Including qualifiers, he has been the first goal-scorer in five of his last six appearances, including in the Round of 16. 

Slightly better value could be in him to score 2+ goals, but the first goalscorer is arguably safer.

Olise is one of the tournament’s assist leaders. Including goals, he has scored or assisted in four of his last five appearances. 

We think there’s always value in his ‘To Score or Assist’ market, having provided two assists against Sweden.

Paraguay vs France Match Details

Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026.

Kick-off: 7:00am AEST.

Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia.

Where to watch: Sportsbet, SBS.

Where to Watch Paraguay vs France

For the first time ever, Sportsbet is offering punters the chance to stream World Cup matches live*.

To watch Sportsbet's live streams of the World Cup, you must:

- Be 18+.

- Have a Sportsbet account.

- Be logged into your Sportsbet account.

- Have a positive balance OR have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

World Cup streaming is available both in-app and on-web. As long as you meet the above requirements, you'll be able to tune in on your computer, tablet or phone.

To access the stream for Paraguay vs France Winners simply find your way to the official betting page for this match. 

Or, if you have a bet on the game you can watch from your "My Bets" section.

Traditional World Cup broadcaster SBS is also showing every World Cup match, meaning you can also watch Paraguay vs France on either SBS, SBS Viceland or SBS On Demand.

*18+ Available to Sportsbet customers only. Conditions apply – see sportsbet.com.au

*Odds are subject to change.