PAI SHAOBING (9) is the one to beat after resuming with a closing third at this track, beaten a long neck by Zaafir, and that result reads well with Sun Kalmia behind her the same day. Her record at this track and distance is a genuine asset, and the return of Takeshi Yokoyama keeps the profile strong. SUN KALMIA (1) was also sound fresh when fourth, beaten just under two lengths, and has enough 1600m substance to remain a major threat, though he must turn consistent placing form into a win. LAST LEGACY (7) comes through deeper-looking 1800m runs, with his Niigata Dirt fourth two starts back the run that keeps him right in the argument. OCTOBER NINE (5) has a plain fresh run to offset, but his previous win at this track by two and a half lengths from Sunday Party gives him a clear rebound platform.