TOCHINO HERO (11) was well fancied last time but found one better at Mizusawa, finishing half a length adrift at the end of 1400m. Looks well placed stepping out in trip. Should be in the finish again. TOVARISCH (3) has scored at his last four starts, most recently by half a length over 1400m at Mizusawa. That continued the very strong form this campaign, with three wins from three runs. Big chance once again. TRUE KNIGHT (9) scored at his most recent appearance, getting home by a nose over 1600m at Mizusawa. That continued the solid form this campaign, with two wins from four outings. Should be in the finish. LAVEY (6) dug deep to score two back then was third over 1600m at Mizusawa last time a month ago. Backmarker who gets home hard. Don't underestimate.