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Kings vs Spurs Prediction & Betting Odds

17/03/2026|SB Staff|NBA Tips & Predictions
Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

The Kings have had some real struggles this season, having managed fewer than 20 victories. On the flip side, the Spurs have significantly improved this season, going from a 34-48 record to the second-best record in the NBA.

Now, they'll face each other on Wednesday, March 18, at 13:00 AEDT.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Spurs to win

Value bet: Wembanyama to have 30+ points

Long shot: Spurs to win by 11+ points

Betting Preview

Games between these two teams have been mixed, with both having their fair share of wins and struggles. Over the last 10 games, they are 5-5. Over the last 25, they are 15-10 in favour of the Kings.

However, this can be flipped further when looking at their most recent games. The Spurs have won the last two meetings, both at home. When it comes to playing in Sacramento, they are 2-3.

In the games played this season, Victor Wembanyama scored 28 points and had 15 rebounds during their 139-122 victory. In the 123-110 victory, De'Aaron Fox had 28 points and 11 assists to his name, scoring a double-double in Wembanyama's absence.

When looking at the last time they met in Sacramento, things were very different. San Antonio were struggling, with the Kings playing much better. They had won the encounter played at home 127-109, with Zach LaVine scoring 36, however he will be unavailable after a season-ending injury.

Betting Markets to Watch

The betting will have the Spurs as big favourites heading into this game. As of writing, the Spurs are 8-2 in their last 10 games, whereas the Kings are 5-5. The Spurs (who already know they'll be in the postseason) have a record of 22-11 on the road, whereas the Kings are 11-23. In terms of facing conference rivals, the Kings are 11-34, with the Spurs 28-14.

With the moneyline unlikely to present a lot of value, it's worth exploring the handicap line in this game. The Spurs are likely to have a significant point advantage in this line, and we think this is something that they will likely cover. They have most of their top players available, including Wembanyama and Fox. If you're new to how to bet on the NBA, understanding handicap lines is essential.

Wembanyama is someone who always has the potential to offer value in the player props. A double-double is quite a frequent occurrence for him, with large point totals often on the board. We think this game has the potential for another big total, with 30+ points likely to offer value.

Our Prediction

Check the latest NBA betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think the most likely outcome is for the Spurs to win. They are simply the better team and will view this game as an ideal opportunity to try and keep their charge on the OKC alive for the West's #1 seed.

Our long shot is for the Spurs to win by 11+ points in the Big Win Little Win market, as the last four games have had win margins of this level. For more NBA tips and predictions, check out our dedicated tips section.

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