While the Nuggets will be competing for the highest possible seed in the West, the 76ers will have to feel they are fighting for their lives in each regular-season matchup.
In this one, they head to Denver on Wednesday, March 18, at 13:00 AEDT.
Quick Picks
Our pick: Nuggets to win
Value bet: Nuggets to win by 1-10 points
Long shot: VJ Edgecombe to have 15+ points
Betting Preview
Despite differences in league standings, the two teams have been fairly similar in recent periods. At the time of writing, the two teams have been 5-5 over their last 10 games. However, things have simply been better overall for the Nuggets.
They'll enter the game fresher than their opponents, having been able to enjoy an additional day's rest. They are 41-27 on the season, with a home record of 18-13. The 76ers are 36-31 for the year, with their away form relatively on par with their home efforts at 17-15.
Philly haven't been dominant at home or on the road, but they've remained fairly consistent, adding value to this match in the betting. Or at least, that's how some may have viewed it before looking at what history suggests…
Over the last five head-to-head games, the 76ers have won just once. That was five games ago, as they are on a four-game losing streak. There's been a mixture of results, with some blowouts (144-109) and some close-fought games, including the most recent in which the Nuggets won in Philly 125-124 in overtime. Understanding how long overtime is in the NBA can help when assessing tight matchups like this one.
Betting Markets to Watch
Is the mixture of results something worth exploring for potential betting value? In our opinion, it is. As noted, games between the two teams can vary in margin. Over the last five, four have been settled by fewer than 10 points. Of the last 10, eight have been decided by fewer than 10 points.
As a result, we think the Big Win Little Win market is worth value, with the Denver Nuggets to win by between 1 and 10 points.
The 76ers are a team that have been banged up in terms of injuries, missing key players like Joel Embiid recently. Tyrese Maxey is another who has spent time on the sidelines, as has Kelly Oubre Jr. If you're new to how to bet on NBA games, injury news is always worth monitoring before placing a wager.
This could mean that there's value in the player props for rookie VJ Edgecombe. He had 16 points in the win against the Brooklyn Nets and is averaging 15.3 points per game. We think 15+ points offers value for the rookie in this one, as a lot of the 76ers' play will have to go through him.
Our Prediction
Check the latest NBA betting odds at Sportsbet.
We think it's likely that the Denver Nuggets win. Their H2H record against the 76ers is strong, while they have been solid at home. Philly have been inconsistent, and with a banged-up team, it makes it hard to like their chances. With both teams still jostling for position, keep an eye on the NBA playoffs betting markets as the postseason approaches.
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