Eight of the last 12 winners have been first or second up, four of those imports kicking off their second local campaign. The early favourite in all-in betting fits that bill, SAM HAWKENS on debut for O'Shea & Charlton after disappointing in the 2600m St Leger on his local debut last spring. Trialling like this shorter trip will suit and has to be respected. In saying that it's a very tricky race to be confident about. TRAVOLTA was good first up in the Gardenia, PIGGYBACK was better smashing the line with a super final 600m sectional and from a low draw gets my attention. JUST FINE and CAMPALDINO resume for Waterhouse/Bott and have claims. The match-fit UNSPOKEN had excuses last start. And I just have a sneaky feeling that ZARIR (import resuming for second local prep) might bob up, market and yard all important. He should be better acclimatised and had 2100m Group 1 form in France before arriving.