SEGUIR EL VIENTO (3) is the one to beat despite a fair fifth when resuming over 1400m at this track, where she was beaten four and a half lengths after failing to quicken. The return to 1600m is a key part of the case: she has a win and a placing from three starts at this track and distance, and her overall record of three wins and six placings from 14 starts gives her the most reliable profile. KYOEI FREUDE (5) is the main danger, with a strong jockey-horse record and proven track-and-distance form offsetting a midfield return at Nakayama Dirt. GREATEST SONG (9) comes through the same Nakayama Dirt race, finished closer when sixth, and has won two of three around 1600m. C'ESTBON CADESSERT (10) resumes with the best consistency in the field, having won then placed at Sapporo Dirt before the break, and his 1600m record keeps him firmly in the winning mix if ready fresh.