LUCKY TO WIN (3) brings the most reliable profile, with recent fifths over 1800m and 1275m both reading better than they look given he was beaten only three and a half lengths each time. His long record around 1500m includes two wins and 19 placings, so this distance range is clearly within his compass. SAKURA (6) is the main danger after a solid third at this track, beaten just under three lengths, and his overall track record gives him a sound platform despite a less convincing Class 4 run two starts back. NORTHERN STAR (10) returns from a five-week let-up off a third at this venue, beaten just under two lengths, and his three placings from four starts at this track and distance make him a genuine threat. KIM EMPIRE (5) backs up quickly after a fifth, but his previous third beaten just over a length, useful jockey record and consistent track profile keep him right in the winning mix.