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UFC 326: Main Card Betting Predictions

06/03/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
UFC 326 Main card

Taking place from Las Vegas at the T-Mobile Arena on Sunday, March 8, from 09:00 AEDT (prelim card first), this main event will be the 13th fight of the night that promises fans and bettors plenty of action.

Read on for our top UFC 326 main card picks and what betting markets we think are worth exploring for value…

Quick Picks

Our pick: Holloway to win

Value bet: De Ridder to win by submission

Long shot: Font to record underdog victory over Rosas Jr.

Betting Preview

The main card for UFC 326 is as follows:

  • Max Holloway (27-8) vs Charles Oliveira (36-11)
  • Caio Borralho (17-2) vs Reinier de Ridder (21-3)
  • Rob Font (22-9) vs Raul Rosas Jr. (11-1)
  • Drew Dober (28-15) vs Michael Johnson (24-19)
  • Gregory Rodrigues (18-6) vs Brunno Ferreira (15-2)

The fight between Holloway and Oliveira is a rematch of their bout that happened at UFC Fight Night 74 in 2015; Holloway was victorious by TKO in round one due to a neck/shoulder injury sustained by the Brazilian. Now, the American is defending the UFC "BMF" Title Belt in this upcoming clash.

The co-main event is between Borralho and De Ridder, both ranked equally in the UFC Middleweight division and coming off defeats in their last fights.

Betting Markets to Watch

We've looked at each fight and consider the following betting markets worth exploring for potential value…

The Holloway vs Oliveira fight offers value in the 'Max Holloway by KO/TKO' market. He won the belt by defeating Justin Gaethje this way, and we know he has beaten Oliveira in the past by this method. The Brazilian is currently up and down in terms of form and is often stopped when beaten.

The Borralho and De Ridder fight can also offer betting value beyond the moneyline. Borralho is considered the early favourite, but De Ridder poses submission value. A total of 18 of his 21 wins have been by finish, with 14 of those by submission (~67%). One clean grappling sequence can flip the fight, and his true win chance feels closer in terms of the value being offered.

Elsewhere, Font offers value in his fight against Rosas Jr., despite the difference in age between the pair. Font is trending negatively in results, but is a proven 5‑round level striker. Rosas Jr. is a developing grappler, but if he can't take down Font, he could run into trouble.

Our Prediction

You can check out our latest UFC betting odds available at Sportsbet for competitive odds.

Our top pick is for Holloway to be the likely winner of the main event bout. We think there's value in De Ridder to win by submission, while our long shot, where we feel value is offered, is in Font to defeat Rosas Jr.

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