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UFC 326: Prelim Card Betting Predictions

06/03/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
UFC 326 prelim card
<p>UFC 326 packs a large prelim card. Taking place in Las Vegas, Nevada, at the T-Mobile Arena on 09:00 AEDT on Sunday, March 8, eight of the 13 scheduled bouts set up the main event, which will consist of a rematch between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira for the UFC "BMF" Title Belt.</p><p>What's going to happen when they all step inside the Octagon to get the crowd hyped up for the title fight and those that precede it on the main card?</p><p>Let's explore the upcoming fights and where there might be betting value…</p><h2>Quick Picks</h2><p><strong>Our pick:</strong> Johnson to win</p><p><strong>Value bet:</strong> Johnson to win by KO</p><p><strong>Long shot:</strong> Nurgozhay to win as underdog against Tobias</p><h2>Betting Preview</h2><p>The prelim card for UFC 326 is as follows:</p><ul><li>Luke Fernandez (6-0) vs Rodolfo Bellato (12-3-1)</li><li>Gaston Bolaños (8-5) vs Jeong Yeong Lee (11-3)</li><li>Rafael Tobias (14-1) vs Diyar Nurgozhay (10-2)</li><li>Sumudaerji (18-7) vs Jesus Aguilar (12-3)</li><li>Cody Durden (17-9-1) vs N. Tumendemberel (9-1)</li><li>Alberto Montes (10-1) vs Ricky Turcios (12-5)</li><li>Donte Johnson (7-0) vs Cody Brundage (11-8-1)</li><li>Cody Garbrandt (14-7) vs Long Xiao (27-10)</li></ul><p>There are some interesting contests on this section of the card, especially from a betting standpoint.</p><p>The fight between Luke Fernandez and Rodolfo Bellato pits an unbeaten prospect against an experienced foe, while Diyar Nurgozhay could cause Rafael Tobias potential issues inside the cage due to the latter's lack of UFC experience.</p><h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p>We've looked at each fight and consider the following betting markets worth exploring for potential value…</p><p>While Fernandez is undefeated, <strong>Bellato could offer value as an underdog</strong> in this fight. He has an impressive KO record, having won by this method seven times. A <strong>stoppage is likely,</strong> as Fernandez has won five of his six fights by KO.</p><p>As highlighted, <strong>Nurgozhay could also be worth value as an underdog against Tobias</strong>. He has exceptional grappling skills, and Tobias may find this something too difficult to handle, especially as he lacks UFC experience.</p><p><strong>Johnson will be considered a big favourite to win</strong> his fight against Brundage. Johnson is undefeated, while Brundage enters on two consecutive defeats. The <strong>value will be in a Johnson KO</strong>, having won six of his seven bouts by this method.</p><p>Elsewhere, we think there's value worth exploring in the <strong>Sumudaerji vs Jesus Aguilar</strong> bout, with it <strong>likely to go the distance</strong>. Sumudaerji will be favoured to win, but both have shown tendencies to go the distance in their recent bouts, and another decision victory is likely.</p><h2>Our Prediction</h2><p>You can check out our latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/outrights">UFC betting odds</a> available at Sportsbet for competitive odds.</p><p>We're predicting an entertaining night of action on the UFC 326 prelim card, with many of the fights offering significant betting value. If you're new to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-on-ufc">betting on UFC</a>, understanding the different markets can help you find opportunities across the card.</p><p>Our top <strong>betting prediction is that Johnson wins</strong>, with our <strong>value bet being Johnson to secure a KO victory</strong>. In our long shot, we think <strong>Nurgozhay offers very good value as an underdog</strong> against Tobias to get the win.</p><p>For more insights on upcoming fights, check out our <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/predictions">UFC tips and predictions</a> to stay ahead of the action.</p><h2>Keep Reading</h2><ul><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches">The latest UFC odds you need to see before placing a bet</a></li><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/ufc-news/weight-divisions">From flyweight to heavyweight — UFC's weight classes explained</a></li><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/ufc-news/greatest-fighters-of-all-time">The fighters who've left the biggest mark on the octagon</a></li></ul>
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