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De Ridder vs Dolidze Prediction and Betting Odds

21/08/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
De Ridder vs Dolidze ufc fight night

 

On the main card of UFC Fight Night, and arguably a top headliner, Dutch master Reinier De Ridder will take on Roman Dolidze in the Octagon.

The pair will clash at light heavyweight in Sacramento, California, on Sunday, August 23, from 07:00 AEST onwards.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: De Ridder to win

Value bet: De Ridder by decision

Long shot: De Ridder by submission

 

Tale of the Tape

 

De Ridder’s southpaw stance, 6'4" frame and 78-inch reach give him a clear range advantage over the shorter orthodox Dolidze.

He should use long left hands, lead-hand touches and front kicks to draw Dolidze into predictable reactions, then close into body locks and takedown attempts.

Georgian fighter Dolidze is most dangerous if he can keep it in open space, stay patient and land hard right-hand counters or hooks as De Ridder comes forward.

De Ridder has made the move up to light heavyweight and is the far more systematic submission fighter and will look to chain takedowns, control position and attack Dolidze’s back or neck, while Dolidze’s historically weak takedown defence makes prolonged bottom time a major risk.

How do the two compare? De Ridder’s figures are first…

 

  • Age - 35 vs 38
  • Height - 6'4" (193cm) vs 6'2" (188cm)
  • Stance - Southpaw vs Orthodox
  • Record - 21-4-0 vs 15-5-0
  • KO Record - 4 vs 8

 

Betting Preview

 

How have they performed in their last five fights?

De Ridder's last five fights:

 

  • Caio Borralho - Loss (UD, 3) - Mar 2026
  • Brendan Allen - Loss (TKO, 4) - Oct 2025
  • Robert Whittaker - Win (SD, 5) - Jul 2025
  • Bo Nickal - Win (TKO, 2) - May 2025
  • Kevin Holland - Win (Sub, 1) - Jan 2025

 

Dolidze’s last five fights:

 

  • Christian Leroy Duncan - Loss (UD, 3) - Mar 2026
  • Anthony Hernandez - Loss (Sub, 4) - Aug 2025
  • Marvin Vettori - Win (UD, 5) - Mar 2025
  • Kevin Holland - Win (TKO, 1) - Oct 2024
  • Anthony Smith - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2024

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

A huge favourite in the moneyline, De Ridder has been given extremely short odds to record victory over Dolidze.

This would suggest that there’s greater value to explore how the Dutchman will likely win this contest.

A decision/points is the most probable outcome.

Former ONE double champ De Ridder will likely use his southpaw range to enter clinches, landing repeated takedowns and controlling Dolidze without necessarily finding a quick finish.

If he uses his strengths properly, it’s unlikely he’ll have any trouble controlling the fight inside the Octagon.

There is value in a De Ridder submission; he has 14 victories in his pro MMA career, including two wins in the UFC by submission.

Dolidze does have a loss to his name by submission. Despite being physically strong, if he starts giving up his back during get-ups, De Ridder could capitalise.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest De Ridder vs Dolidze betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that De Ridder is the likely winner , with a decision victory the most probable outcome.

We think there’s value in the De Ridder to win by submission market, as described above.

Reinier De Ridder
Roman Dolidze

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