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Barcelona vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Odds

17/03/2026|SB Staff|Soccer Tips & Predictions
Barcelona vs Newcastle

Now, it's time for the reverse leg in Spain, with the two teams meeting on the pitch on Thursday, March 19, at 04:45 AEDT.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Barcelona to win

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals

Long shot: 'Barcelona 2-1' in the correct score

Betting Preview

The first leg was an entertaining tie, and it had looked as if the advantage was going to Newcastle. Having played each other earlier in the Group Phase, the English side had been beaten by the Spaniards by two Marcus Rashford goals, who cancelled out Anthony Gordon's strike.

In the first leg of their Round of 16 tie, all the action took place in the final few moments of the game. The hosts took a 1-0 lead with 86 minutes on the clock, when Harvey Barnes found the back of the net.

With the game entering its final stages, Barcelona were awarded a lifeline when they were given a penalty. Lamine Yamal would convert to keep La Blaugrana in the tie and give them something to work with heading into the contest.

How did the first leg turn out statistically? Newcastle had 16 shots compared to the visitors' 10. Barcelona had just three on target that tested Aaron Ramsdale in the goal, whereas Newcastle had five on Joan Garcia's goal. Barcelona had a greater share of the possession, although at 54%, the game remained pretty even throughout.

Betting Markets to Watch

With the tie balanced at 1-1, both teams will recognise that this encounter needs at least one goal. However, there's value in a multiple number being scored on the night.

The 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in each of Barcelona's last 19 Champions League home matches. At the same time, the 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in 11 of Barcelona's last 12 Champions League matches.

We think this will offer plenty of value to punters, especially as the first-leg encounter was the only time that fewer than three goals were being scored in this year's UCL campaign for Barcelona.

Lamine Yamal will offer value as an anytime goalscorer, as he has four goals in seven matches so far. Anthony Gordon could also be worth additional value, as he has 10 in 11 matches in the UCL, including one in the first leg and a goal at the weekend against Chelsea.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Barcelona vs Newcastle betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think a Barcelona win is the most likely outcome of this game. They have been strong at home, winning three of their last four matches at home (lost the first game to PSG).

As a long shot, we think there's value in a 'Barcelona 2-1' victory. This result occurred in the first match between these two teams, while Barcelona had won by this scoreline on one other occasion: at home to Eintracht Frankfurt.

Newcastle's only defeats were 2-1 scorelines (Barcelona and Marseille). If you're looking to explore more soccer betting options, there are plenty of markets available across Europe's top leagues.

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