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Arsenal vs Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Odds

17/03/2026|SB Staff|Soccer Tips & Predictions
Arsenal vs Leverkusen
<p><em>Arsenal left it late and were saved by a former Leverkusen player to take a 1-1 draw into the second leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 match.</em></p><p>The two teams will meet at the Emirates Stadium on Tuesday, March 18, at 07:00 AEDT in the second leg.</p><h2>Quick Picks</h2><p><strong>Our pick:</strong> Arsenal to win</p><p><strong>Value bet:</strong> 'Under 2.5 Goals'</p><p><strong>Long shot:</strong> Arsenal 2-0 correct score</p><h2>Betting Preview</h2><p>A Kai Havertz penalty in the final minutes of the game in Germany meant Mikel Arteta's side remain in the tie and on for an unprecedented quadruple.</p><p>Leverkusen won't make it easy, having pushed the Gunners hard. Robert Andrich had scored just after the restart, giving the hosts something to hold onto as they head to the British capital. They became the first team that Arsenal had failed to beat in the UCL this season.</p><p>However, Arteta's side already have experience of beating a German opponent at home this season. In MW5, they managed to defeat Bayern Munich 3-1. Still, Leverkusen hold a win on English soil, having beaten Man City 2-0 in MW5. If you're looking to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-uefa-champions-league">bet on the Champions League</a>, understanding these head-to-head dynamics is crucial.</p><p>What could we expect from the return leg? Leverkusen had the better stat line from the first encounter. The Germans managed eight attempts on goal, although only three of them tested David Raya's target. Arsenal had seven shots, with just three on target of their own. The Gunners bossed the ball, as they had 57% possession, making significantly more passes, which were also more accurate than their opponents.</p><h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p>With the first leg leaving the tie poised, we think the goals market will offer value, specifically in terms of their being a lack of them.</p><p>The '<strong>Under 2.5 Goals' market</strong> has hit in each of Bayer Leverkusen's last four Champions League Knockout Stage matches. Indeed, we saw it in the first leg, and we think it's likely that this tie could be decided by just one goal as neither team needs to go all-out in attack from the beginning.</p><p>With that said, we think there's value in the <strong>BTTS not hitting</strong>. The 'Both Teams to Score' market has failed to hit in 14 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 16 Champions League Tuesday matches. Arsenal have been defensively strong, and should they score first, Arteta's side can become defensively tight and keep Leverkusen at bay. For those interested in <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer">soccer betting</a>, these defensive trends are worth noting.</p><p>The <strong>'Arsenal 1 - 0' correct score</strong> could be considered to offer value, based on the two trends and bets that have been identified above.</p><h2>Our Prediction</h2><p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/uefa-competitions/uefa-champions-league/arsenal-v-leverkusen-10251365">Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p><p>An <strong>Arsenal win is the most likely outcome</strong>, as they have won nine of their last 10 Champions League Tuesday matches. At the same time, they've won each of the games played at home in this year's tournament. Arsenal are among the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/epl-winners-by-year">Premier League champions list</a> and their European pedigree continues to grow.</p><p>Above, we noted that we think '<strong>Arsenal 2-0'</strong> offers value as a <strong>correct score</strong>. We think this has value as a long shot, with the <strong>'Under 2.5' goals being our value pick</strong>.</p><h2>Keep Reading</h2><ul><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/premier-league-betting-guide">Everything you need to know before betting on the EPL</a></li><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/what-is-xg-soccer-explained">What xG actually tells us (and what it doesn't)</a></li><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/epl/predictions">Our latest Premier League predictions and betting tips</a></li></ul>
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