Belgium vs Senegal Prediction - World Cup Round of 32
30/06/2026|SB Staff|World Cup 2026 Tips & Predictions
Belgium will take on Senegal for a place in the Round of 16, as both nations will meet on Thursday, July 2, at 06:00 AEST in match 82 of the competition.
Rudi Garcia’s Belgium topped Group G, although they were made to work hard to finish top after one win and two draws. Senegal finished third in Group I after one win and two defeats, defeating Iraq 5-0 in their final game to advance.
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Quick Picks
Our pick: Sengal to win
Value bet: Over 2.5 Goals
Long shot: Ismaila Sarr as an anytime goalscorer
Belgium vs Senegal prediction
Senegal have already faced two European nations in this competition in France and Norway, and things didn’t go particularly well for Pape Thiaw’s side, having lost 3-1 and 3-2, respectively.
Belgium, meanwhile, faced an African side (Egypt) in the group stages, but were held to a 1-1 draw in which both teams were far from their best.
Belgium haven’t really been anywhere near their best, struggling to a 0-0 draw against Iran. However, they showed improvements in their final game against New Zealand, winning 5-1. Senegal also improved to defeat Iraq in their final encounter.
With the quality of player and the squad depth that Garcia has, Belgium have been made the favourites in the moneyline odds, and as our Belgium vs Senegal betting odds page shows, they are the side to beat here.
But Senegal should not be discounted as they search for their third win in the knockout stages of the World Cup. Only Netherlands and France scored more goals than Senegal in the group stages.
We think the most likely outcome is for Senegal to win.
Before you weigh up Belgium's stars against Senegal, it's worth scanning the latest World Cup odds, and if you fancy a flutter, knowing how bonus bets work can come in handy.
Belgium vs Senegal score prediction
Goals have been a bit of a problem for Belgium so far. Take away the five they scored against New Zealand, they had just one in their first two games.
By contrast, Senegal’s games have proved finding the back of the net isn’t the problem – it’s defending which appears to be an issue for Thiaw’s men.
We think this could lead to there being value in the ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market. The Red Devils have shown significant improvement and have the star quality to thrive in the right conditions.
Senegal have found it difficult against nations from Europe, conceding six in two games against France and Norway.
However, the Africans don’t appear to have as much trouble finding the net. They have scored in every game so far, which is why the BTTS hitting has value. Belgium have kept one clean sheet so far, but they conceded in the two other games.
With this in mind, we think there’s a lot of value in the ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market, and even potentially some in the ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market if you expect an open game.
Our correct score prediction is that Senegal likely win 3-2.
If you're keen to back this one across multiple outcomes, have a read of what a multi bet actually involves first, and the World Cup betting markets breakdown is worth a look before you lock anything in.
Belgium vs Senegal team news and line-ups
Predicted Belgium line-up (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois, Thomas Meunier, Brandon Mechele, Nathan Ngoy, Timothy Castagne, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, Kevin De Bruyne, Leandro Trossard, Jeremy Doku, Charles De Ketelaere.
Belgium have leaned on a double pivot to shield a back four and free up their attacking band, with the front line carrying the bulk of the threat. Zeno Debast is expected to miss out with a thigh injury, while Romelu Lukaku faces a late fitness test on a lack of match sharpness.
Predicted Senegal line-up (4-3-3): Edouard Mendy, Krepin Diatta, Kalidou Koulibaly, Moussa Niakhate, El Hadji Diouf, Habib Diarra, Idrissa Gueye, Pape Gueye, Ismaila Sarr, Nicolas Jackson, Sadio Mane.
Senegal are expected to lean on width and pace in the front three, with coach Pape Thiaw reportedly having access to most of his squad despite reported concerns over coaching wages.
Player markets to watch
Belgium’s big hitters managed to get on the scoresheet against New Zealand, including Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne. Both will be backed as an anytime goalscorer in this game, with the latter arguably offering better value in the ‘To Score or Assist’ market.
Arsenal’s Leandro Trossard hit a brace against the Kiwis and is known for a big goal every now and then. As such, he has better value as an ‘anytime goalscorer’ in this upcoming encounter, as he could break free of the Senegalese defence on occasion.
Sadio Mane has value, despite a poor tournament for him so far. He hasn’t found the net yet, but a game against Belgium could be what he needs to add his name to the list.
Iliman Ndiaye has value as an anytime goalscorer after netting against Iraq, while Ismaila Sarr has three in his last two games, making him have value.
Belgium vs Senegal Match Details
Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026.
Kick-off: 6:00am AEST.
Location: Lumen Field, Seattle.
Where to watch: Sportsbet, SBS.
Where to Watch Belgium vs Senegal
For the first time ever, Sportsbet is offering punters the chance to stream World Cup matches live*.
To watch Sportsbet's live streams of the World Cup, you must:
- Be 18+.
- Have a Sportsbet account.
- Be logged into your Sportsbet account.
- Have a positive balance OR have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.
World Cup streaming is available both in-app and on-web. As long as you meet the above requirements, you'll be able to tune in on your computer, tablet or phone.
To access the stream for Belgium vs Senegal simply find your way to the official betting page for this match. Or, if you have a bet on the game you can watch from your "My Bets" section.
Traditional World Cup broadcaster SBS is also showing every World Cup match, meaning you can also watch Belgium vs Senegal on either SBS, SBS Viceland or SBS On Demand.
*18+ Available to Sportsbet customers only. Conditions apply – see sportsbet.com.au
*Odds are subject to change.


