Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders Prediction – Round 16 2026
19/06/2026|Joel Caine|NRL Expert Predictions & TipsTwo months after falling short in the nation’s capital, the Melbourne Storm host the Canberra Raiders at AAMI Park on Sunday. Canberra won 26-22 when these sides met earlier in the season.
Melbourne enters the clash fresh from a bye after a tight 32-30 victory over Newcastle prior to that.
Cameron Munster, Harry Grant and Trent Loiero have all been named to back up after starring in State of Origin on Wednesday night. Injured pair Jack Howarth and Tyran Wishart are set to return, while Manaia Waitere will miss with an ankle issue.
The Raiders enter this clash desperate to respond, with a 15-12 defeat to Parramatta leaving last year’s minor premiers languishing in 13th with a 5-9 record. Hudson Young and Ethan Strange are named to start four days after Origin, while Savelio Tamale is back on the wing after a week out with concussion.
For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of this match, check out our Storm vs Raiders tips and predictions below.
Storm vs Raiders Prediction and Betting Tips
Head-to-Head Prediction
The Raiders have been a perennial underperformer this season despite a tough schedule, and Melbourne’s resurgence makes this a daunting assignment at AAMI Park.
Craig Bellamy’s Storm have quietly put together a four-game winning streak and look like the kind of side that gets better as the season deepens.
Canberra fans will hope they come prepared for what is normally a physical battle against the Storm, after the Raiders lost 15-12 to the Eels, who were second last at the time of the game.
Melbourne’s class across the park and their ability to control the tempo of a game should be enough to get the job done particularly after a week off. They’ve won each of their last 12 matches at AAMI Park after a bye.
Betting tip: Melbourne Storm.
First Try Scorer Prediction
Canberra can’t seem to defend their edges on the road this season and we’re tipping Melbourne to make the most of that.
In seven of the Raiders last eight away matches, the opposition's starting right centre has scored at least one try.
On Sunday, the man lining up there for Melbourne will be Jack Howath, so we’re tipping him to run in the first try in this one.
Betting tip: Jack Howath.
Over/Under Prediction
Each of Canberra's last five matches as an underdog have gone under the total match points line.
Betting tip: Under (51.5) total match points.
Line Prediction
Melbourne have failed to cover the line in nine of its last 10 matches against teams on a losing streak.
Betting tip: Raiders (+9.5) line.
Storm vs Raiders Anytime Try Scorer Betting Tips
Kaeo Weekes
Kaeo Weekes has scored at least one try in each of Canberra's last four matches as an away underdog.
Moses Leo
Moses Leo has scored at least one try in each of Melbourne's last four matches.
Ethan Strange
In four of Canberra's last five away matches, their starting five-eighth has scored a try.
Josh King
In each of Canberra's last three matches at AAMI Park, the opposition's starting right prop has scored a try.
Sebastian Kris
Sebastian Kris has scored at least one try in each of his last three appearances against opponents that were ranked higher on the ladder.
Harry Grant
Harry Grant has scored a try in three of his last four appearances.
Storm vs Raiders Teams
Melbourne Storm Team List
1. Sua Fa’alogo
2. Will Warbrick
3. Jack Howarth
4. Joe Chan
5. Moses Leo
6. Cameron Munster
7. Jahrome Hughes
8. Stefano Utoikamanu
9. Harry Grant
10. Josh King
11. Cooper Clark
12. Ativalu Lisati
13. Trent Loiero
14. Trent Toelau
15. Alec MacDonald
16. Jack Hetherington
17. Josiah Pahulu
18. Shawn Blore
Canberra Raiders Team List
1. Kaeo Weekes
2. Savelio Tamale
3. Sebastian Kris
4. Matthew Timoko
5. Xavier Savage
6. Ethan Strange
7. Ethan Sanders
8. Corey Horsburgh
9. Tom Starling
10. Joe Tapine (c)
11. Hudson Young
12. Zac Hosking
13. Jayden Brailey
14. Owen Pattie
15. Ata Mariota
16. Morgan Smithies
17. Daine Laurie
18. Jed Stuart
Storm vs Raiders Match Details
Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026.
Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST.
Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne.


