The Atlanta Hawks have been blitzing everyone they've faced recently; will the Golden State Warriors be able to stop them?
The two teams will meet in Atlanta on Sunday, March 22, at 11:00 AEDT, with both teams still playing for their futures in the NBA playoffs this season. Neither has secured a spot as of Thursday.
Quick Picks
Our pick: Hawks to win
Value bet: Hawks to win by 1-10 points
Long shot: Johnson to have 20+ points
Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks have been running through everybody that they have played over the last 10 games (prior to the Mavs). Perhaps more worryingly for the Warriors, the Hawks have played nine of those games at home.
It's been an incredible charge and a change of fortunes for them, as they had been struggling at one point. Still, they've got some work to do if they are to reach the playoffs, although they are in a far better spot than they were 10 games ago.
GSW haven't been their best over the same 10-game period. They've gone on a run of 3-7 over the same period, leaving their own playoff hopes on the line. It perhaps doesn't help that they haven't been great on the road, as they are 14-20. For Atlanta, they are 19-16 at home, completely transforming their home record.
When it comes to the head-to-head, history suggests these two teams are balanced. The Hawks have won three of the last five, including the last two; GSW have four wins over the last 10, but each of these were achieved in California.
Betting Markets to Watch
Indeed, with their poor record on the road this season, the number of injuries they have had to deal with, and the incredible form that the Hawks have shown at home recently, it's no surprise that the Hawks are likely favourites.
The handicap may offer value, especially with both teams in contrasting form. The Hawks' strong form helps position them to cover the spread, even as the likely winners of this game. If you're new to how to bet on the NBA, understanding handicap markets is a great place to start.
Additional value may be available in the Big Win Little Win market for the Hawks due to the H2H that has occurred over the last 10 games. In the five games played in Atlanta, only one game has finished with a margin greater than 11 points. For this reason, we think there's value in the Hawks to win 1-10 points.
Our Prediction
Check the latest NBA betting odds at Sportsbet.
As noted, we believe that the Hawks are the likely winner of this game. It's simply too hard to ignore their recent home form, and how inconsistent and poor GSW have been on the road all year. Furthermore, the injuries that the Warriors have suffered have left them struggling in many games so far this season.
For a long shot bet, we think Jalen Johnson offers value for 20+ points. Before the games against the Mavs and Rockets, he managed to surpass this figure in six consecutive games. For more NBA tips and predictions, check out our latest analysis.
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