GSW vs Heat Betting Prediction and Betting Odds

The Warriors put a five-game winning streak on the line at Chase Center against a Heat side finishing a back-to-back on their West Coast trip.

Giannis Antetokounmpo became the first player in NBA history to post at least 125 points and 50 rebounds across his first five games with a new team, and he has followed it with 30-point nights against the Pacers and Lakers.

Now he arrives at Chase Center to face a Warriors frontcourt that was missing Al Horford and Kristaps Porzingis on Monday, and lost Draymond Green to an ejection early in the second half of that win over Phoenix.

Before we get to our full preview, here are the key details:

• Competition: NBA Regular Season
• Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Start Time: 2:00pm AEDT

Curry Has Golden State Rolling After an 0-3 Start

Golden State lost their first three games of the season and have won every game since, beating the Nuggets in Denver, the Timberwolves, the Lakers, the Clippers, and the Suns in succession.

Monday's 116-113 win over Phoenix was the most telling of the lot, because the Warriors trailed by 17 and Stephen Curry scored 25 of his 34 points after halftime for his third straight 30-point game.

Miami have been much harder to read. They are 2-5 despite Giannis's numbers, with wins over the Hawks and Pacers squeezed between losses, and Monday's 138-117 defeat to the Lakers pushed the points they concede up to 123.9 a game.

The last meeting between these sides was a 135-112 Warriors win at Chase Center in January, but Miami's roster has changed so much since then, with Tyler Herro traded to Milwaukee in the Giannis deal, that it tells us very little.

The Warriors Are Thin Up Front Without Horford and Porzingis

Jimmy Butler is still recovering from ACL surgery, and Moses Moody (patellar tendon surgery), Al Horford (back), Kristaps Porzingis (away from the team), and Gui Santos (knee) were all ruled out on Monday.

Green sat out Sunday's win over the Clippers for injury management before his ejection against Phoenix, which left Charles Bassey to soak up big minutes in a career-high 19-point night.

The Heat had nobody ruled out for the Lakers game, so Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins should both be in uniform for their return to San Francisco. The catch for Miami is the schedule, because they play the Clippers the night before this one.

Warriors vs Heat Betting Markets

The head-to-head market leans on Golden State's home form and Miami's tired legs, while the total is interesting given that Heat games have averaged 242 combined points this season.

The richest market, though, is player props, with Giannis's points and rebounds lines and Curry's scoring line the two to watch.

Golden State's injury report will decide how much room Giannis gets in the paint, so the Warriors vs Heat odds on his player props are worth another look once the final report lands on game day.

Warriors vs Heat Prediction: Our Pick

Our pick is Giannis in the points and rebounds markets. He is averaging 28.4 points and 12.3 rebounds across Miami's seven games, and his last two outings brought 31 points, 18 rebounds, and 10 assists against Indiana, then 30 points and 12 rebounds against the Lakers.

Golden State's frontcourt is the softest it has been all season, with Porzingis away from the team, Horford day to day with his back, and Green coming off an ejection, which leaves Bassey and a lot of undersized lineups to deal with him.

The risk is the back-to-back. If Erik Spoelstra manages his minutes after the Clippers game, or the contest gets away from Miami early, his counting stats could come up short.

If you want more selections across this slate, our team posts today's NBA tips and predictions on every night of action.