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Celtics vs Warriors Prediction & Betting Odds

18/03/2026|SB Staff|NBA Tips & Predictions
Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

GSW head to the TD Garden to take on the Eastern side, with the game scheduled to tip off at 10:00 AEDT on Thursday, March 19.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Celtics to win

Value bet: Tatum to have 20+ points

Long shot: Boston to win by 11+ points in the Big Win Little Win

Betting Preview

The GSW have been in a poor patch of form recently, struggling to get victories on the board when they need them most. It hasn't helped that they've had their squad be depleted for significant periods of the season.

Still, they've had a torrid time. At the time of writing, the GSW had experienced a five-game losing skid, going 2-8 over their last 10 games. Their struggles on the road are well-documented, as they are 13-20 (all figures prior to the game against the Wizards). If there's any saving grace for their NBA odds to make playoffs, it's that other teams in the West don't appear to be able to capitalise on their poor form and have struggled themselves.

The Celtics haven't had too many issues in the winning department, despite being without Jayson Tatum for the majority of the season. Now, he's back, and he appears to mean business when on the court.

Boston are 22-10 at home this season (ahead of their game against the Phoenix Suns), while they have been on a 6-4 win record over their last 10 matches.

Betting Markets to Watch

Tatum is a player who could have value worth exploring in the betting market for this game. As of writing, he has had four appearances and has managed to record 20+ points on three occasions. Despite not having played for a significant period of time, he doesn't seem to have lost a step, so 20+ points looks likely.

When looking at the head-to-head, the Celtics have been the better team in recent memory. Over the last 10 games, they may only be 4-6, but over the last five, they are 3-2, which includes two consecutive wins.

In those wins, they won by 11+ points, both in California. It's worth noting that when the two teams meet at the TD Garden, the Celtics are 2-3. However, they have won two of the last three played at the venue on Thursday.

Given how the two teams have been playing this year, we think there'll be value to explore in the Big Win Little Win market for the Celtics to win by 11+ points.

Our Prediction

Check the latest NBA betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think a Celtics win is the most likely outcome in this game. The Celtics have been the better team and GSW don't seem to be able to buy a win in recent matches. Their injury report remains extensive, with key players likely to be out. If you're new to how to bet on NBA games, this matchup presents a clear form disparity worth considering.

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