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US Open Prediction and Betting Odds

16/06/2026|SB Staff|Golf Tips & Predictions
US Open Prediction

 

The PGA Tour’s third major of the season is almost upon us, with the U.S. Open set to see the world’s best compete for one of the biggest prizes in golf.

Emanating from Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Long Island, N.Y., the action will get underway on Thursday, June 18, with the first tee from around 20:45 AEST. A winner will be declared in the early hours of Monday, June 22.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Scheffler in the each-way to win

Value bet: Rahm as an each-way to win

Long shot: Koepka as an each-way to win

 

Betting Preview

 

Shinnecock Hills is a par-70, roughly 7,400-yard inland-links style course that plays firm, fast, and heavily influenced by coastal winds. Fairways are relatively wide by U.S. Open standards, but they tighten precisely where modern drives land, and any miss bleeds into thick rough, fescue, or heather, immediately turning birdie looks into “scramble for bogey” territory.

The greens are elevated, sloping, and contoured poa/bent surfaces that will run quick, but are expected to be set up just shy of unplayable, placing a premium on controlling trajectory, spin, and exact landing spots into small, unforgiving targets.

The routing constantly changes direction, so players face frequent shifts in wind over successive holes, which tests their ability to adjust club selection, shot shape, and flight window on the fly.

Around the greens, closely mown run-offs, deep bunkers, and gnarly rough demand superb touch and imagination; poor short games will be brutally exposed, especially when players are short-sided.

Overall, the course challenges players to be disciplined off the tee, elite with their irons, and resilient in their scrambling, rewarding patient, strategic golf and punishing overly aggressive lines or any lapse in focus over four days.

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Scottie Scheffler is the clear favourite in the golf betting market. He is the No.1 golfer in the world, is very dominant tee‑to‑green and is patient and strategic.

He is yet to win this major, being the only one he needs to complete the Grand Slam. His best finish was tied-second in 2022.

Rory McIlroy has the length to handle 7,400 yards but, more importantly, has historically excelled in windy and links‑like conditions when driving it well, giving him a chance as high as anyone if the driver behaves and he is on his game.

Jon Rahm offers outside value, as he is another past U.S. Open winner whose heavy ball flight, strong iron play, and short‑game grit are tailormade for a demanding, windy major where pars are gold.

If you want even longer value, Brooks Koepka could be worth exploring.

He won the 2018 U.S. Open at Shinnecock, and while his recent performances would suggest he is way off from competing, he has won five majors in his career. However, he doesn’t have a single top 10 over his last 12 major tournament starts.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest US Open golf betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our golf tips and predictions point to Scheffler as the likely winner. He has consistently been one of the best players, and his game is suited to this course.

Win Only
18 Jun 20:35
Min Woo Lee
Adam Scott
Cameron Smith
Jason Day
Lucas Herbert
Scottie Scheffler
Rory McIlroy
Jon Rahm
Xander Schauffele
Matt Fitzpatrick
Cameron Young
Tommy Fleetwood
Ludvig Åberg
Bryson DeChambeau
Brooks Koepka
Russell Henley
Sam Burns
Si Woo Kim
Chris Gotterup
Collin Morikawa
Patrick Reed
Tyrrell Hatton
Justin Thomas
Patrick Cantlay
Viktor Hovland
Wyndham Clark
J.J. Spaun
Justin Rose
Maverick McNealy
Kurt Kitayama
Hideki Matsuyama
Joaquin Niemann
Kristoffer Reitan
Robert MacIntyre
Shane Lowry
Aaron Rai
Alex Fitzpatrick
Ben Griffin
Bud Cauley
Harris English
Jordan Spieth
Akshay Bhatia
Alex Noren
Alex Smalley
David Puig
Gary Woodland
Jackson Koivun
Jacob Bridgeman
Jake Knapp
Keegan Bradley
Keith Mitchell
Nicolai Højgaard
Rickie Fowler
Ryan Gerard
Sepp Straka
Daniel Berger
Dustin Johnson
J.T. Poston
Ryan Fox
Andrew Novak
Brian Harman
Corey Conners
Harry Hall
Matt McCarty
Max Greyserman
Nick Taylor
Ryo Hisatsune
Sahith Theegala
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Sungjae Im
Tom Kim
Andrew Putnam
Davis Thompson
Jackson Suber
Max McGreevy
Pierceson Coody
Samuel Stevens
Ben James
Billy Horschel
Jayden Schaper
Matti Schmid
Michael Brennan
Michael Kim
William Mouw
Carlos Ortiz
Johnny Keefer
Matthew Jordan
Nathan Kimsey
Nico Echavarria
Adrien Dumont de Chassart
Chris Kirk
Cooper Dossey
John Parry
Patrick Rodgers
Adrien Saddier
Alejandro Tosti
Angel Hidalgo Portillo
Arni Sveinsson
Ben Kohles
Ben Silverman
Brandon Holtz
Brandon Wu
Bryan Lee
Caleb Surratt
Carl Yuan
Chandler Phillips
Chase Kyes
Cole Hammer
Dylan Wu
Emiliano Grillo
Eric Lee
Ethan Fang
Filippo Celli
Giuseppe Puebla
Graeme McDowell
Greyson Leach
Hamilton Coleman
Harry Higgs
Hennie du Plessis
J.B. Holmes
Jack Schoenberger
Jackson Herrington
Jackson Ormond
Jackson Van Paris
Jake Peacock
Jake Sollon
James Nicholas
Jimmy Stanger
Kaito Onishi
Kevin Roy
Laurie Canter
Logan Reilly
Manav Shah
Marcelo Rozo
Marek Fleming
Mason Howell
Mateo Pulcini
Matthew Robles
Miles Russell
Neal Shipley
Nick Hardy
Niklas Norgaard
Padraig Harrington
Peter Uihlein
Preston Stout
Robbie Higgins
Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor
Ryder Cowan
Ryuichi Oiwa
Spencer Tibbits
Taeksoo Kim
Taihei Sato
Taylor Montgomery
Ugo Coussaud
Vaughn Harber
Zac Blair

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