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Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions Prediction - Round 13 2026.

05/06/2026|Josh Jenkins|AFL Tips & Predictions

The football world turns its gaze to Queensland this Saturday afternoon as the first QClash of 2026 ignites a fierce local rivalry at People First Stadium.

This is not just another match, it's a battle for bragging rights between two clubs who are desperate to prove to themselves that they’re still flag contenders.

For the visitors, the alarm bells are ringing loud and clear.

Riding its equal-longest single-season losing streak since 2018, Brisbane will attempt to bounce back and salvage their reputation.

The reigning premiers have now dropped three straight matches after last weekend’s 103-78 defeat against Fremantle at the Gabba.

Even more concerning for coach Chris Fagan is a leaky defence that has given up an average of 128.7 points per contest across this horror stretch.

Meanwhile, Gold Coast enters this blockbuster fresh after a timely Round 12 bye.

Their most recent outing ended in dramatic fashion, surrendering a comfortable 43-point lead against North Melbourne to fall 111-105 after the final siren at Marvel Stadium.

Dimma Hardwick will have spent the week off stewing over that collapse, ensuring his team is primed to punish their big brother.

Historical data heavily favours the Lions, who secured a massive 100-47 victory at the Gabba in a semi-final last season, marking a 13th win from their last 15 encounters against the Suns.

But with Gold Coast sitting proudly in fifth place and Brisbane languishing in ninth, the dynamic has completely shifted.

Genuinely anything could happen in this one – get keen for another QClash in the Great Southeast.

For the latest team news, analysis, and expert insights, check out ou Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions Round 13 prediction and preview below.

 

Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

The Lions have historically owned Gold Coast in these high-voltage clashes, but the Round 21 QClash last season proved the Suns can fight back hard against big brother.

In that memorable encounter, Matt Rowell had 37 touches, Noah Anderson collected 33, and John Noble accumulated 31 to guide the underdogs to a spectacular 11-goal win.

A few weeks later, order was swiftly restored in the semi-final when the roaring Lions clinical running saw them storm to a commanding 53-point victory.

Brisbane are currently nowhere near the unstoppable side that won that semi-final and went on to claim the premiership flag, but their core talent remains undeniable.

The real question surrounding the visitors is whether they possess the hunger, desire, and collective will to compete during these monotonous winter months of the home-and-away season.

With the Suns flying high in fifth place and the Lions desperate in ninth, both sides are searching for a season-defining response.

We believe the combination of home-ground comfort and a fresh midfield engine will give the edge to the hosts.

Head-to-head prediction: Gold Coast Suns by eight points.

 

First Goal Scorer Prediction

Ben King has been a goal-kicking monster for the Suns in 2026 – sitting at second on the Coleman Medal tally in Round 13.  

The star forward has been in magnificent touch, booting 34 already.

With Brisbane out of sorts and looking in shambles in defence, Kingy should find plenty of space in this match.

Gold Coast will look for Ben early and the King don’t miss.

Betting tip: Ben King.

 

Most Disposals Prediction

Matt Rowell has been steadily building his form match by match throughout the 2026 season.

Last year’s Brownlow Medal winner looks to be back in the sort of form that saw him poll the second most Brownlow votes in AFL history in 2025.

He loves a QClash, famously racking up a massive 37 disposals against Brisbane in their corresponding home fixture last season.

It looks like Matty Rowell has been eating his grass again in ‘26 – we’re tipping him to get the better of Brissy ball-finder Lachie Neale in this one.

Betting tip: Matt Rowell.

 

Odds are subject to change. *

 

Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions Predicted Teams

 

Gold Coast Suns Predicted Team List

FB: Oscar Adams, Sam Collins, Mac Andrew

HB: Bodhi Uwland, Wil Powell, Daniel Rioli

C: Lachie Weller, Christian Petracca, John Noble

HF: Bailey Humphrey, Will Graham, Touk Miller

FF: Leonardo Lombard, Ben King, Ben Long

FOLL: Ned Moyle, Noah Anderson, Matt Rowell

I/C: Jed Walter, Joel Jeffrey, Jarrod Witts, Jai Murray, Lachlan Gulbin

 

Brisbane Lions Predicted Team List

FB: Darcy Gardiner, Harris Andrews, Darragh Joyce

HB: Bruce Reville, Ty Gallop, Darcy Wilmot

C: Zac Bailey, Will Ashcroft, Jarrod Berry

HF: Levi Ashcroft, Logan Morris, Charlie Cameron

FF: Kai Lohmann, Cam Rayner, Sam Draper

FOLL: Darcy Fort, Josh Dunkley, Lachie Neale

 I/C: Jaspa Fletcher, Conor McKenna, James Tunstill, Shadeau Brain, Noah Answerth

 

Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions Match Details

 

Date: Saturday, June 6, 2026.

First Bounce: 5:15pm AEST.

Location: People First Stadium, Gold Coast.

How to Watch: Fox Footy/Kayo Sports.

Gold Coast SUNS
Brisbane Lions

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