BOM is forecasting showers about on Monday, Tuesday, and raceday, that should see the track remain soft. Rail out a whopping 10m hence you'd want to see how the track is playing before getting too involved. Fortunately we kick things off with a 2yo Maiden Plate where up to four could be on debut, two resume, and up to six will be just 2nd-up. Hence anything but a race to empty your wallet on. Hopefully we get a 'free tip' aka a handle on how the track is rating-wise and bias-wise. GIRMAY had no favours when debuting in stronger class. Had ten weeks to be further educated as well. HELL OF HEAVEN was heavily backed on debut, also in better class. Handed up, pocketed, avert your eyes. MONARCHAL has done nothing wrong. The stablemate SAXON SPIRIT was heavily backed on debut and had no favours. Of course you can respect the betting with the newcomers but support alone does not guarantee they win.