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Xiaonan Yan vs Denise Gomes Prediction and Betting Odds

SB Staff|28/08/2026|
Xiaonan Yan vs Denise Gomes Prediction and Betting Odds

 

Taking place in Shanghai, China, UFC Fight Night will feature a packed card, including the co-main event between Xiaonan Yan and Denise Gomes.

The two fighters will meet in the Octagon in a strawweight contest, with both among the very best in the UFC.

The action takes place on Saturday, August 29, with the event starting at 17:00 AEST. For the rest of the card in Shanghai, check out our UFC Fight Night tips.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Yan to win

Value bet: Yan by decision

Long shot: Gomes by KO/TKO

 

Tale of the Tape

 

Chinese star Yan is the cleaner fighter of the two, with her boxing skill, experience and ability to manage a three-round pace potentially giving her an edge in this contest in her home country. Still, Gomes brings momentum to this clash. She is currently on a four-fight UFC winning streak and carries more knockout threat, which she may look to try to use to her advantage.

Yan is likely to stay at range, use straight punches and movement to win the cleaner exchanges, while her Brazilian opponent will look to make it more physical and disrupt that rhythm.

How do the two compare? Yan’s figures are first…

 

  • Age - 37 vs 26
  • Height - 5'5" (166cm) vs 5'2" (157cm)
  • Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
  • Record - 19-5-0 vs 12-3-0
  • KO Record - 8 vs 7

 

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

 

Yan's last five fights:

  • Virna Jandiroba - Loss (UD, 3) - Apr 2025
  • Tabatha Ricci - Win (UD, 3) - Nov 2024
  • Weili Zhang - Loss (UD, 5) - Apr 2024
  • Jéssica Andrade - Win (TKO, 1) - May 2023
  • Mackenzie Dern - Win (MD, 5) - Oct 2022

 

Gomes’s last five fights:

  • Tecia Pennington - Win (UD, 3) - Nov 2025
  • Elise Reed - Win (TKO, 2) - May 2025
  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Win (UD, 3) - Nov 2024
  • Eduarda Moura - Win (SD, 3) - Jun 2024
  • Angela Hill - Loss (UD, 3) - Nov 2023

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Yan is the perceived pre-fight favourite , with her experience and home support likely to be an advantage in this bout. Still, Gomes may have value , as she has won her last four fights and is much younger than her opponent.

The most likely outcome is for the fight to go the distance . Of their combined 10 last fights, only two have been stopped before the final bell. Furthermore, six of Yan’s seven previous UFC fights as a favourite have gone the distance. This is why there is potential value in her to win on points.

Yan is likely to use her control and experience to bank the rounds and emerge victorious against a dangerous opponent.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest UFC fight odds for Xiaonan vs Gomes at Sportsbet. Our prediction is that Yan is the likely winner , with a decision victory most likely .

As a long shot, Gomes by KO/TKO has some value. She is undefeated in her last four fights and has youth on her side.

For this to happen, she will need to turn it into a high-pressure fight, force Yan into exchanges and land her heavier power shots, rather than allow Yan to box at her preferred rhythm.

Yan Xiaonan
Denise Gomes

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