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UFC Fight Night Umar Nurmagomedov vs Yadong Song Prediction

SB Staff|28/08/2026|
UFC Fight Night Umar Nurmagomedov vs Yadong Song Prediction

 

As UFC Fight Night goes on the road to Shanghai, China, with Umar Nurmagomedov versus Yadong Song the headline fight that everyone will be looking forward to.

The two are set to face each other inside the Octagon in a bantamweight clash, with the event scheduled for Saturday, August 29, with the card getting underway at 17:00 AEST. If you are planning to follow the fight live, here's how to watch UFC Shanghai in Australia.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Nurmagomedov to win

Value bet: Nurmagomedov by decision

Long shot: Song to win

 

Tale of the Tape

 

Nurmagomedov is the more layered fighter. The Russian uses long kicks, feints and quick level changes to make opponents hesitant, then links his entries into chain wrestling and controlling grappling.

Song, meanwhile, is the sharper pocket boxer. The Chinese fighter boasts faster combinations and real finishing power when he can set his feet and trade at mid-range.

Nurmagomedov should use feints and kicks to set up takedowns and sustained control, while Song will aim to defend early shots and punish Umar’s entries with sharp counter-punching.

How do the two compare? Nurmagomedov’s figures are first…

  • Age - 30 vs 28
  • Height - 5'8" (172cm) vs 5'8" (173cm)
  • Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
  • Record - 20-1-0 vs 23-9-1
  • KO Record - 2 vs 9

 

Betting Preview

 

How have they performed in their last five fights?

 

Nurmagomedov's last five fights:

  • Deiveson Figueiredo - Win (UD, 3) - Jan 2026
  • Mario Bautista - Win (UD, 3) - Oct 2025
  • Merab Dvalishvili - Loss (UD, 5) - Jan 2025
  • Cory Sandhagen - Win (UD, 5) - Aug 2024
  • Bekzat Almakhan - Win (UD, 3) - Mar 2024

 

Song’s last five fights:

  • Deiveson Figueiredo - Win (Sub, 2) - May 2026
  • Sean O'Malley - Loss (UD, 3) - Jan 2026
  • Henry Cejudo - Win (TD, 3) - Feb 2025
  • Petr Yan - Loss (UD, 3) - Mar 2024
  • Chris Gutierrez - Win (UD, 5) - Dec 2023

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

The latest UFC fight odds have Nurmagomedov as the huge favourite , with Song perceived to have very little chance of winning, despite being on home soil.

It’s worth noting that Yadong has won each of his last five UFC fights against orthodox opponents, although Nurmagomedov looks like an entirely different proposition.

The fight is likely to go the distance, with Nurmagomedov likely to win on points . Each of his last five UFC fights has gone the distance, with four wins and one defeat. The loss against Georgian Dvalishvili last year has gone down as one of the greatest, because of how competitive it was. Of his nine fights in the UFC, Nurmagomedov has had six go the distance.

Nurmagomedov by submission could also offer slightly longer value. If Song’s takedown defence holds up early, the Russian may need extended clinch-and-grappling sequences to create a finish.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest Nurmagomedov vs Song betting odds at Sportsbet. Our prediction is that Nurmagomedov is the likely winner , with a decision victory likely.

If you’re looking for a long shot, Song as the underdog , as he has won his last five UFC fights against this type of opponent. He’ll also have home support in China.

There are plenty more bouts on the Shanghai card worth a look, and our latest UFC predictions run the rule over the fights we like most across the night.

Umar Nurmagomedov
Song Yadong

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