UFC Fight Night Macau: Full Card Prediction & Betting Odds
28/05/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
The event is scheduled to take place on Saturday, May 30, with the preliminary card getting underway from 18:00 AEST.
Quick Picks
- Our pick: Song to win
- Value bet: Asakura over Smotherman by decision
- Long shot: Pavlovich over Teixeira by KO/TKO
Betting Preview
Let's dive deep into the full card, with the following 'main card' fights, in descending order:
- Yadong Song (22-9-1) vs Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1)
- Mingyang Zhang (19-7) vs Alonzo Menifield (17-6-1)
- Sergei Pavlovich (20-3) vs Tallison Teixeira (9-1)
- Kai Asakura (21-6) vs Cameron Smotherman (12-6)
- Jake Matthews (22-8) vs Carlston Harris (19-7)
- Alex Perez (26-10) vs Sumudaerji (19-7)
The bouts on the 'prelim card' are as follows:
- Luis Felipe Dias (16-5) vs Yi Sak Lee (8-1)
- Meng Ding (35-9) vs José Henrique (8-1)
- Aoriqileng (26-12) vs Cody Haddon (8-1)
- Rei Tsuruya (10-1) vs Luis Gurule (11-3)
- Angela Hill (18-16) vs Jingnan Xiong (19-2)
- Kangjie Zhu (21-4) vs Rodrigo Vera (21-1-1)
- Loma Lookboonmee (10-4) vs Jaqueline Amorim (10-2)
Betting Markets to Watch
We've listed our top UFC predictions for the full card below, with the markets worth watching.
- Yadong over Figueiredo, with a decision victory the most likely outcome. He is likely to control the fight over five rounds and grind a decision out.
- Mingyang over Menifield by KO/TKO. Zhang carries higher-octane power and striking pressure, and will look to finish the fight early.
- Pavlovich over Teixeira by KO/TKO. Pavlovich is the favourite because of elite one-shot power and finishing rate, with an early or late KO more likely than a decision victory.
- Asakura over Smotherman by decision. Asakura is the more technical striker and likely to win rounds, while Smotherman projects as a rugged, hard-to-finish opponent, which points to a clear decision rather than a finish.
- Matthews over Harris by decision. Matthews is the steadier, more rounded technician whose strength lies in winning rounds through control and activity.
- Perez over Sumudaerji by decision. Perez has a wrestling edge that will let him control this bout and likely grind out a victory by decision.
- Dias over Yi-sak by decision. Dias fits the profile of the steadier, more well-rounded fighter who can win rounds on consistency rather than big moments.
- Ding over Henrique by TKO/KO. Ding is the more aggressive finish-seeker in this matchup.
- Haddon over Aoriqileng by decision. Haddon is more likely to impose cleaner rounds and be in control of the fight.
- Tsuruya over Gurule by decision. Tsuruya is more likely to win by outworking and controlling the pace.
- Xiong over Hill by TKO/KO. Xiong's ability to strike hard and often offers value of a clean finish in the mid-rounds.
- Vera over Zhu by decision. Vera's style is more about winning judges' rounds than explosive finishes.
- Amorim over Lookboonmee by submission. Amorim's submission skills suggest her jiu-jitsu is built for a late-round sub rather than a full-fight decision.
Our Prediction
You can check out our latest UFC betting odds. Our picks largely favour the favourites in Macau for this upcoming event.
If you're new to betting on UFC, this card offers a solid introduction with clear favourites across most matchups. For more UFC betting tips, check out our full predictions hub.
Kai Asakura v Cameron Smotherman
30 May 22:15
Kai Asakura
Cameron Smotherman
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