UFC Fight Night Las Vegas: Full Card Prediction & Betting Odds
15/05/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
The hard-hitting action inside the Octagon will take place from 07:00 AEST on Sunday, May 17, with Arnold Allen's fight against Melquizael Costa the main event.
Quick Picks
- Our pick: Allen to win
- Value bet: Choi to beat Santos by KO/TKO
- Long shot: Bannon to beat Caliari by KO/TKO
Betting Preview
Let's dive deep into the full card, with the following 'main card' fights, in descending order:
- Arnold Allen (20-4) vs Melquizael Costa (26-7)
- Doo Ho Choi (16-4-1) vs Daniel Santos (13-2)
- Malcolm Wellmaker (10-1) vs Juan Díaz (15-1-1)
- Modestas Bukauskas (19-7) vs Christian Edwards (8-4)
- Timmy Cuamba (10-3) vs Benardo Sopaj (12-3)
The bouts on the 'prelim card' are as follows:
- Nikolay Veretennikov (14-7) vs Khaos Williams (15-5)
- Tuco Tokkos (11-5) vs Ivan Erslan (14-6)
- Tommy Gantt (11-0) vs Artur Minev (7-0)
- Ketlen Vieira (15-5) vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti (10-1)
- Andre Petroski (13-5) vs Cody Brundage (11-9-1)
- Alice Ardelean (11-7) vs Polyana Viana (13-8)
- Daniel Barez (17-7) vs Luis Gurule (10-3)
- Shauna Bannon (7-2) vs Nicolle Caliari (8-4)
Betting Markets to Watch
We've listed our top predictions for the full card below, with the markets worth watching. If you're new to betting on UFC, understanding how the different markets work can help you find value across the card.
- Allen to beat Costa by decision . Allen's volume and wrestling control should neutralise Costa's power.
- Choi to beat Santos by KO/TKO . Choi's power and fast starts make an early finish likely, with value in him as the underdog.
- Wellmaker to beat Díaz by decision . Wellmaker's wrestling and pace edge a competitive fight.
- Bukauskas to beat Edwards by KO/TKO . Bukauskas' power advantage and experience at 205lbs make him a favourite.
- Cuamba to beat Sopaj by decision . Cuamba's grappling should control range and tempo.
- Veretennikov to beat Williams by decision or late TKO . Veretennikov's volume vs Williams' one-punch power is the dynamic in this bout to watch out for, with value in the underdog.
- Tokkos to beat Erslan by decision . Tokkos's wrestling and cardio advantage has him a good-value underdog.
- Gantt to beat Artur Minev by decision. Gantt's pressure vs Minev's finishing record means this competitive bout likely goes the distance.
- Vieira to beat Cavalcanti by decision . Vieira's top control and grappling favour her as an underdog.
- Brundage to beat Petroski by decision . Brundage's wrestling and volume should win rounds, despite perceived underdog status.
- Ardelean to beat Viana by stoppage . Ardelean's recent improvement and cardio give her a late-fight edge.
- Barez to beat Gurule by decision . Barez's experience and control should be enough to secure victory in Las Vegas.
- Bannon to beat Caliari by KO/TKO . Underdog Bannon's power and pressure create potential finish chances that offer value.
Our Prediction
You can check out our latest UFC betting odds and explore the full range of UFC Fight Night odds available.
We've made several picks that favour the underdogs, as we believe there is plenty of value to be had at UFC Fight Night Las Vegas.
For more analysis ahead of the weekend, check out our UFC predictions page.


