Taking place in Las Vegas, UFC Fight Night will be headlined by Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim in a welterweight clash.

It should be an explosive contest between two of the top athletes at UFC welterweight weight, with the event taking place on Sunday, June 7, from 07:00 AEST. This fight should be a couple of hours later.

Quick Picks

• Our pick: Muhammad to win
• Value bet: Fight to go the distance
• Long shot: Bonfim by submission

Tale of the Tape

Muhammad is likely to approach this fight by leaning on his trademark pressure, jab, and wrestling, looking to back Bonfim toward the fence, mix in level changes, and turn the bout into a long, grinding contest where his cardio and experience over five rounds can shine.

Bonfim is expected to pursue a faster, more dangerous fight early, using sharp straight shots and kicks to keep Muhammad from getting comfortable walking him down, then hunting for submissions in transition whenever Muhammad shoots or commits to wrestling exchanges.

How do the two compare? Muhammad’s figures are first…

• Age - 37 vs 28
• Height - 5'11" (180cm) vs 6'1" (185cm)
• Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
• Record - 24-5-0 vs 19-1-0
• KO Record - 5 vs 4

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Muhammad's last five fights:

• Ian Machado Garry - Loss (UD, 3) - Nov 2025
• Jack Della Maddalena - Loss (UD, 5) - May 2025
• Leon Edwards - Win (UD, 5) - Jul 2024
• Gilbert Burns - Win (UD, 5) - May 2023
• Sean Brady - Win (TKO, 2) - Oct 2022

Bonfim’s last five fights:

• Randy Brown - Win (TKO, 2) - Nov 2025
• Stephen Thompson - Win (SD, 3) - Jul 2025
• Khaos Williams - Win (Sub, 2) - Feb 2025
• Ange Loosa - Win (UD, 3) - Jul 2024
• Nicolas Dalby - Loss (TKO, 2) - Nov 2023

Betting Markets to Watch

Despite being on a two-match losing slide inside the Octagon (and a recent wrestling defeat), Muhammad enters this fight against Bonfim as the favourite to win.

There isn’t much between them, which suggests there may be value worth exploring elsewhere.

You can get better value on Muhammad to win by points in the ‘Method of Victory’ market .

He has won 80% of his fights in the UFC by this method. This makes the ‘ Fight to go the Distance’ market more intriguing, as the ‘ Yes ’ option offers a greater price than ‘No’.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Muhammad vs Bonfim UFC predictions and betting odds at Sportsbet.

We predict that Muhammad will be the likely winner of this fight, with the decision victory most likely .

If you’re looking for a long shot, Bonfim to win by submission may offer some value if you think he can get the better of his opponent.

He has won 13 fights by this method, with 50% of his UFC wins ending this way.