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Medic vs Rodriguez Prediction and Betting Odds

30/07/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
Medic vs Rodriguez

 

The next edition of UFC Fight Night is about to take place in Belgrade, Serbia, with Uros Medic and Daniel Rodriguez headlining an exciting looking card.

A total of 14 fights are scheduled, with the event taking place in the Belgrade Arena on Sunday, August 2, at 00:00 AEST.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Medic to win

Value bet: Uros Medic KO/TKO & Round 1

Long shot: Fight to go the distance

 

Tale of the Tape

 

Medic and Rodriguez will clash in a fight that has five five-minute rounds, with both men adopting a southpaw stance.

Medic is definitely the faster, sharper southpaw and could look to keep the fight at long-to-mid range, where his speed and power will allow him to potentially beat Rodriguez to the punch.

Rodriguez’s best path, then, is to close the distance, make it a little messy, and use veteran pressure and clinch work to slow Medic down before the early danger window closes.

How do the two compare? Medic’s figures are first…

 

  • Age - 33 vs 39
  • Height - 6'1" (185cm) vs 6'1" (185cm)
  • Stance - Southpaw vs Southpaw
  • Record - 13-3-0 vs 20-5-0
  • KO Record - 11 vs 9

 

Betting Preview

 

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Medic's last five fights:

 

  • Geoff Neal - Win (TKO, 1) - Feb 2026
  • Muslim Salikhov - Win (TKO, 1) - Nov 2025
  • Gilbert Urbina - Win (TKO, 1) - Aug 2025
  • Punahele Soriano - Loss (TKO, 1) - Jan 2025
  • Tim Means - Win (TKO, 1) - Apr 2024

 

Rodriguez’s last five fights:

 

  • Kevin Holland - Win (UD, 3) - Jul 2025
  • Santiago Ponzinibbio - Win (TKO, 3) - May 2025
  • Alex Morono - Win (SD, 3) - Oct 2024
  • Kelvin Gastelum - Loss (UD, 3) - Jun 2024
  • Ian Machado Garry - Loss (TKO, 1) - May 2023

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Medic is the huge moneyline favourite to win this fight in front of his home crowd, and we think it’s a likely outcome. However, the odds are rather short at present, which is why it’s potentially better to explore any value being offered elsewhere.

There isn’t much more value in the Uros Medic by KO/TKO bet in the method of victory market, highlighting the probability of this outcome being achieved. For that reason, we think the value in this fight is going to be in the ‘Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)’ market.

The Uros Medic KO/TKO & Round 1 offers slightly better value. In fact, Medic’s last five fights have not gone beyond the first round, with him winning four of them.

 

Our Prediction

 

Our prediction is that Medic is the likely winner , with the Uros Medic KO/TKO & Round 1 bet offering value .

If you’re looking for a long shot, the fight to go the distance offers plenty of value. Rodriguez has had three of his last five fights go the full distance, but they were over three rounds and not five.

Remember, too, that he is much older than his opponent, while Medic is explosive in the first, making the fight going the distance unlikely but not impossible.

Uros Medic
Daniel Rodriguez

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