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Della Maddalena vs Prates Prediction & Betting Odds

30/04/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
ufc fight night della maddalena vs prates
<p>The fight will take place at the RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia. The 12-fight card will begin from 18:00 AEST on Saturday, May 2.</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Quick Picks</h2><p><strong>Our pick:</strong> Della Maddalena to win</p><p><strong>Value bet:</strong> Fight to go the distance</p><p><strong>Long shot:</strong> Prates by KO/TKO</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Tale of the Tape</h2><p>Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates looks like a high-variance striking main event. JDM is the cleaner volume boxer and minute-winner, while Prates is the bigger one-shot finisher with the more explosive knockout path.</p><p>Both men are described as switch-stance strikers, but they use that base differently: JDM is more about tight boxing, body work, pressure, and composure in the pocket, while Prates is more of a Muay Thai sniper with length, knees, elbows, and sudden power.</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>How do the two compare? Della Maddalena's figures are first…</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>• Age - 29 vs 32</p><p>• Height - 5'11" (180cm) vs 6'1" (185cm)</p><p>• Stance - Switch vs Switch</p><p>• Record - 18-3-0 vs 23-7-0</p><p>• KO Record - 12 vs 18</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Betting Preview</h2><p>How have they performed in their last five fights?</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p><strong>Della Maddalena's last five fights:</strong></p><p>• Islam Makhachev - Loss (UD, 5) - Nov 2025</p><p>• Belal Muhammad - Win (UD, 5) - May 2025</p><p>• Gilbert Burns - Win (TKO, 3) - Mar 2024</p><p>• Kevin Holland - Win (SD, 3) - Sep 2023</p><p>• Bassil Hafez - Win (SD, 3) - Jul 2023</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p><strong>Prates's last five fights:</strong></p><p>• Leon Edwards - Win (TKO, 2) - Nov 2025</p><p>• Geoff Neal - Win (TKO, 1) - Aug 2025</p><p>• Ian Machado Garry - Loss (UD, 5) - Apr 2025</p><p>• Neil Magny - Win (TKO, 1) - Nov 2024</p><p>• Jingliang Li - Win (TKO, 2) - Aug 2024</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p>JDM might be the value play if he continues to drift slightly and remains an underdog. He is the home fighter, so he will have crowd support on his side.</p><p>It's worth remembering that he is ranked #2 in the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/ufc-news/weight-divisions">UFC welterweight weight</a> division, and will be looking to bounce back from a loss in which he lost his title.</p><p>Still, this is one of those matches that can be categorised as being "too hard to call" and one that can be decided on the flip of a coin.</p><p>With that said, the moneyline odds being offered don't appear to offer too much value.</p><p>The fight going the distance perhaps offers value, despite both men having high KO rates.</p><p>They both have proven 5-round cardio; the switch-stance chess match favours clean striking over wild swings.</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Our Prediction</h2><p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches/jack-della-maddalena-v-carlos-prates-10239724">Della Maddalena vs Prates betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p><p>We think <strong>Della Maddalena offers value as the likely winner in this fight</strong>.</p><p>Our long shot is <strong>Prates by KO/TKO</strong>, as the Brazilian has the ability to cause a potential upset. For more <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/predictions">UFC betting tips</a> and analysis, check out our full range of predictions.</p><p>If you're new to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches">betting on UFC</a>, explore the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma">UFC Fight Night odds</a> to find your next wager.</p>
Jack Della Maddalena
Carlos Prates

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