The fight will take place at the RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia. The 12-fight card will begin from 18:00 AEST on Saturday, May 2.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Della Maddalena to win

Value bet: Fight to go the distance

Long shot: Prates by KO/TKO

Tale of the Tape

Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates looks like a high-variance striking main event. JDM is the cleaner volume boxer and minute-winner, while Prates is the bigger one-shot finisher with the more explosive knockout path.

Both men are described as switch-stance strikers, but they use that base differently: JDM is more about tight boxing, body work, pressure, and composure in the pocket, while Prates is more of a Muay Thai sniper with length, knees, elbows, and sudden power.

How do the two compare? Della Maddalena's figures are first…

• Age - 29 vs 32

• Height - 5'11" (180cm) vs 6'1" (185cm)

• Stance - Switch vs Switch

• Record - 18-3-0 vs 23-7-0

• KO Record - 12 vs 18

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Della Maddalena's last five fights:

• Islam Makhachev - Loss (UD, 5) - Nov 2025

• Belal Muhammad - Win (UD, 5) - May 2025

• Gilbert Burns - Win (TKO, 3) - Mar 2024

• Kevin Holland - Win (SD, 3) - Sep 2023

• Bassil Hafez - Win (SD, 3) - Jul 2023

Prates's last five fights:

• Leon Edwards - Win (TKO, 2) - Nov 2025

• Geoff Neal - Win (TKO, 1) - Aug 2025

• Ian Machado Garry - Loss (UD, 5) - Apr 2025

• Neil Magny - Win (TKO, 1) - Nov 2024

• Jingliang Li - Win (TKO, 2) - Aug 2024

Betting Markets to Watch

JDM might be the value play if he continues to drift slightly and remains an underdog. He is the home fighter, so he will have crowd support on his side.

It's worth remembering that he is ranked #2 in the UFC welterweight weight division, and will be looking to bounce back from a loss in which he lost his title.

Still, this is one of those matches that can be categorised as being "too hard to call" and one that can be decided on the flip of a coin.

With that said, the moneyline odds being offered don't appear to offer too much value.

The fight going the distance perhaps offers value, despite both men having high KO rates.

They both have proven 5-round cardio; the switch-stance chess match favours clean striking over wild swings.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Della Maddalena vs Prates betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think Della Maddalena offers value as the likely winner in this fight.

Our long shot is Prates by KO/TKO, as the Brazilian has the ability to cause a potential upset. For more UFC betting tips and analysis, check out our full range of predictions.

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