Next to Jump

UFC 324: Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett Betting Predictions

22/01/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
<p>Naturally, the biggest highlight of this upcoming event is the headline fight: Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett. It is a bout that has plenty on the line, including the crowning of the next UFC interim <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/ufc-news/weight-divisions">lightweight</a> champion.</p> <p>Which of these men will come out victorious when they clash inside the Octagon? Read on for our expert Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett betting predictions, as we attempt to pick the right winner and find you betting value for UFC 324!</p> <h2>Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett: Tale of the Tape</h2> <p>With both men among the very best that the lightweight division has, we can expect to see a blockbuster of a fight. Gaethje is #6 in the rankings at lightweight, whereas Pimblett is ranked #7.</p> <p>Still, how do the two compare? Gaethje's figures are first as we analyse the pair…</p> <ul> <li>Age - 37 vs 31</li> <li>Height - 5'11" (181cm) vs 5'10" (178cm)</li> <li>Weight - 156.0 lbs (70.8 kgs) vs 156.0 lbs (70.8 kgs)</li> <li>Reach - 70.0" (178cm) vs 73.0" (185cm)</li> <li>Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox</li> <li>Record - 26-5-0 vs 23-3-0</li> <li>KOs - 19 vs 6</li> </ul> <h2>Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett: Betting Preview</h2> <p>Both fighters are accomplished inside the Octagon, which adds to the overall hype and anticipation of this event, especially among bettors.</p> <p>Their respective recent fight records may suggest that one man has a better chance than the other. Pimblett is unbeaten in his last five, whereas Gaethje has been beaten twice.</p> <p>Gaethje's Last Five Opponents:</p> <ul> <li>Rafael Fiziev - Win (UD, 3) - Mar 2025</li> <li>Max Holloway - Loss (TKO, 5) - Apr 2024</li> <li>Dustin Poirier - Win (TKO, 2) - Jul 2023</li> <li>Rafael Fiziev - Win (MD, 3) - Mar 2023</li> <li>Charles Oliveira - Loss (Sub, 1) - May 2022</li> </ul> <p>Pimblett's Last Five Opponents:</p> <ul> <li>Michael Chandler - Win (TKO, 3) - Apr 2025</li> <li>King Green - Win (Sub, 1) - Jul 2024</li> <li>Tony Ferguson - Win (UD, 3) - Dec 2023</li> <li>Jared Gordon - Win (UD, 3) - Dec 2022</li> <li>Jordan Leavitt - Win (Sub, 2) - Jul 2022</li> </ul> <h2>Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett: Betting Predictions</h2> <p>We have the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches/justin-gaethje-v-paddy-pimblett-9893951">Gaethje vs Pimblett betting odds</a> available on Sportsbet, with<strong> Pimblett the betting favourite.</strong></p> <p>We <strong>think the Englishman will win this fight</strong> and become the next UFC interim lightweight champion, as he has enough to overcome a veteran like Gaethje. His recent record is better, which should give him the confidence to go on and win.</p> <p>For additional betting value, we like the odds offered in the<strong> 'Paddy Pimblett by Submission'</strong>, as he has won seven of his fights in this way. Gaethje has lost twice by submission in his career.</p> <p>By extension, we think the<strong> 'No'</strong> regarding <strong>the fight going the distance</strong> is also worth a punt, as this hasn't happened for Gaethje over five rounds in his last 10. If you're new to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-on-ufc">betting on UFC</a>, understanding the different markets available can help you find value beyond just picking a winner.</p> <h2>Keep Reading</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/predictions">Who's tipped to win this weekend's UFC card?</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/ufc-news/greatest-fighters-of-all-time">The fighters who've left the biggest mark on the octagon</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/ufc-news/best-ufc-fights-of-all-time">The bouts that had everyone on the edge of their seats</a></li> </ul>

Relevant Articles

Paddy Pimblett Next Fight: Gaethje or Topuria Targeted?

Paddy Pimblett eyes elite UFC foes Gaethje or Topuria for his next fight after dominating Chandler. Explore potential matchups & his path to title contention.
12/06/2025|SB Staff|UFC News

UFC 324: Event & Betting Preview

There are several huge fights scheduled for UFC 324, making this a very exciting event!

UFC 324: Sean O'Malley vs Yadong Song Betting Prediction

At UFC 324, we'll get to see two of the best bantamweights step inside the Octagon and go head to head in Las Vegas.
1
JOINOnly takes3 minutes
2
DEPOSITIt's safe andsecure
3
BETGreat oddsand specials
Must be
BetStop - the National Self-Exclusion Register™ is a free service provided by the Australian Government that allows people to self-exclude from all licensed Australian online and phone wagering providers in a single process. Registering is quick and easy and can be done at www.betstop.gov.au.
While you are registered, Australian licensed online and phone wagering providers must not open a wagering account for you, allow you to place bets, or send you marketing material.
Licensed and regulated by the Northern Territory Racing and Wagering Commission.
Copyright © Sportsbet Pty Ltd.