UFC 324: Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett Betting Predictions
22/01/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
Naturally, the biggest highlight of this upcoming event is the headline fight: Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett. It is a bout that has plenty on the line, including the crowning of the next UFC interim lightweight champion.
Which of these men will come out victorious when they clash inside the Octagon? Read on for our expert Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett betting predictions, as we attempt to pick the right winner and find you betting value for UFC 324!
Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett: Tale of the Tape
With both men among the very best that the lightweight division has, we can expect to see a blockbuster of a fight. Gaethje is #6 in the rankings at lightweight, whereas Pimblett is ranked #7.
Still, how do the two compare? Gaethje's figures are first as we analyse the pair…
- Age - 37 vs 31
- Height - 5'11" (181cm) vs 5'10" (178cm)
- Weight - 156.0 lbs (70.8 kgs) vs 156.0 lbs (70.8 kgs)
- Reach - 70.0" (178cm) vs 73.0" (185cm)
- Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
- Record - 26-5-0 vs 23-3-0
- KOs - 19 vs 6
Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett: Betting Preview
Both fighters are accomplished inside the Octagon, which adds to the overall hype and anticipation of this event, especially among bettors.
Their respective recent fight records may suggest that one man has a better chance than the other. Pimblett is unbeaten in his last five, whereas Gaethje has been beaten twice.
Gaethje's Last Five Opponents:
- Rafael Fiziev - Win (UD, 3) - Mar 2025
- Max Holloway - Loss (TKO, 5) - Apr 2024
- Dustin Poirier - Win (TKO, 2) - Jul 2023
- Rafael Fiziev - Win (MD, 3) - Mar 2023
- Charles Oliveira - Loss (Sub, 1) - May 2022
Pimblett's Last Five Opponents:
- Michael Chandler - Win (TKO, 3) - Apr 2025
- King Green - Win (Sub, 1) - Jul 2024
- Tony Ferguson - Win (UD, 3) - Dec 2023
- Jared Gordon - Win (UD, 3) - Dec 2022
- Jordan Leavitt - Win (Sub, 2) - Jul 2022
Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett: Betting Predictions
We have the latest Gaethje vs Pimblett betting odds available on Sportsbet, with Pimblett the betting favourite.
We think the Englishman will win this fight and become the next UFC interim lightweight champion, as he has enough to overcome a veteran like Gaethje. His recent record is better, which should give him the confidence to go on and win.
For additional betting value, we like the odds offered in the 'Paddy Pimblett by Submission', as he has won seven of his fights in this way. Gaethje has lost twice by submission in his career.
By extension, we think the 'No' regarding the fight going the distance is also worth a punt, as this hasn't happened for Gaethje over five rounds in his last 10. If you're new to betting on UFC, understanding the different markets available can help you find value beyond just picking a winner.