Movsar Evloev and Lerone Murphy headline UFC London on Sunday, March 22, 2026, at The O2 Arena in a potential featherweight title eliminator.

The action gets underway from 04:00 AEDT in the British capital, with this headliner not expected to take place for some hours later. That's because the upcoming UFC Fight Night odds card features 14 bouts inside the Octagon.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Evloev to win

Value bet: Evloev to win by decision

Long shot: Murphy to win by decision

Tale of the Tape

Evloev is a relentless grappler who grinds opponents with wrestling and control, winning most UFC bouts by decision (e.g., vs. Arnold Allen, Diego Lopes). He mixes slick striking but excels in smothering top control, with 61% of recent wins by decision.

Murphy is an explosive striker with knockout power (3 UFC KOs) and volume punching, proven over five rounds twice. He defends takedowns effectively and thrives in the pocket, riding a nine-UFC-win streak.

We've compared the two fighters below, with Evloev's figures first…

• Age - 32 vs 34
• Height - 5'7" (170cm) vs 5'9" (175cm)
• Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
• Record - 19-0-0 vs 17-0-1
• KO Record - 3 vs 8

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Evloev's last five fights:

• Aljamain Sterling - Win (UD, 3) - Dec 2024
• Arnold Allen - Win (UD, 3) - Jan 2024
• Diego Lopes - Win (UD, 3) - May 2023
• Dan Ige - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2022
• Hakeem Dawodu - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2021

Murphy's last five fights:

• Aaron Pico - Win (TKO, 1) - Aug 2025
• Josh Emmett - Win (UD, 5) - Apr 2025
• Dan Ige - Win (UD, 3) - Oct 2024
• Edson Barboza - Win (UD, 5) - May 2024
• Josh Culibao - Win (UD, 3) - Jul 2023

Betting Markets to Watch

When it comes to how these two fighters have won recently, the fight to go the distance would appear the most likely outcome. Evlov has 12 wins by this method, with all nine of his fights in the UFC going by this method. Murphy has 9 wins by decision, with six of these being as a UFC athlete.

Murphy can be considered a valuable underdog in this fight the longer it goes. He is a native, fighting out of Manchester and could feed on the energy from the crowd if he manages to hold firm inside the Octagon. However, we do consider this to be our long shot, given the Russian fighter's exceptional record inside the cage.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Evloev vs Murphy betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that Evloev wins this fight, with a decision the most likely outcome. The Russian has won all of his UFC bets by this method, while Murphy remains undefeated. We think it'll be a close fight that needs to go the distance to determine a winner.

Our value bet is for Evloev to win by decision, as this will offer more value than the straight moneyline does for backing the Russian in London on Sunday, March 22. If you're new to betting on UFC, understanding the different markets available can help you find the best value.

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