Dricus Du Plessis and Kamaru Usman will headline a blockbuster UFC Fight Night card in Oklahoma City this coming weekend.

The former UFC Middleweight Champion will take on the former UFC Welterweight Champion, who is stepping up in weight to challenge one of the best inside the octagon at this class.

It will take place on Sunday, July 19, with the first of the 11-fight card scheduled for around 07:00 AEST.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Du Plessis to win

Value bet: Du Plessis to win by KO/TKO

Long shot: Dricus du Plessis to win by KO/TKO in Rounds 1,2 or 3

Tale of the Tape

Du Plessis has the advantage of knowing what it takes to compete at this weight, as it is his natural weight. Usman, meanwhile, is stepping up and that is going to raise questions about his durability and cardio at 185lbs, especially against a big hitter who likes to be aggressive.

South African Du Plessis is also younger than his opponent, which may also work in his favour. However, Usman has the ability to control contests if he can apply his wrestling skills early.

How do the two compare? Du Plessis’s figures are first…

• Age - 32 vs 39
• Height - 6'1" (185cm) vs 6'0" (183cm)
• Stance - Switch vs Orthodox
• Record - 23-3-0 vs 21-4-0
• KO Record - 9 vs 9

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Du Plessis's last five fights:

• Khamzat Chimaev - Loss (UD, 5) - Aug 2025
• Sean Strickland - Win (UD, 5) - Feb 2025
• Israel Adesanya - Win (Sub, 4) - Aug 2024
• Sean Strickland - Win (SD, 5) - Jan 2024
• Robert Whittaker - Win (TKO, 2) - Jul 2023

Usman’s last five fights:

• Joaquin Buckley - Win (UD, 5) - Jun 2025
• Khamzat Chimaev - Loss (MD, 3) - Oct 2023
• Leon Edwards - Loss (MD, 5) - Mar 2023
• Leon Edwards - Loss (TKO, 5) - Aug 2022
• Colby Covington - Win (UD, 5) - Nov 2021

Betting Markets to Watch

Dricus Du Plessis has been made the early favourite on the moneyline, which isn’t a surprise, given Usman is stepping up in weight and questions about his durability and stamina are already being raised.

Still, the South African is fighting after a loss, while the Nigerian native won his most recent bout. Nonetheless, Usman had lost his three previous fights before that win.

There isn’t much value in the fight not going the distance, with a stoppage perceived as the most likely outcome. This is why there may be some value in Du Plessis to win by KO/TKO. If you want to add value, round betting and combo markets are perhaps worth exploring, with higher odds available.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Du Plessis vs Usman betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that Du Plessis is the likely winner, with the TKO/KO market offering value .

There’s value in the Dricus du Plessis to win by KO/TKO in Rounds 1,2 or 3 market. Against a very durable ex‑champ like Usman, R2–3 KOs are more realistic than a quick R1 wipe‑out.