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UFC Fight Night Rio: Diniz vs Pinto Betting Predictions

09/10/2025|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
<p>In terms of clashes that can be described as being too hard to call, the matchup between Jhonata Diniz and Mario Pinto certainly falls into that category.</p> <p>The pair will meet inside the Octagon as part of UFC Fight Night in Brazil on Sunday, October 12. The preliminary card will get underway at 06:00 AEST, but this fight should be about 90 minutes or so after it begins as it is scheduled to take place as the 10th of the night.</p> <h2>Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto: Tale of the Tape</h2> <p>With the two athletes set to engage in an expectedly tight battle, it’s worth noting their key statistics and attributes. These could help provide bettors with vital information that may help identify potential value opportunities.</p> <p>Diniz’s figures are listed first in this tale of the tape comparison…</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <ul> <li>Age - 34 vs 27</li> <li>Height - 6'4" (192cm) vs 6'5" (196cm)</li> <li>Weight - 257.5 lbs (116.8 kgs) vs 246.5 lbs (111.8 kgs)</li> <li>Reach - 79.5" (202cm) vs 79.0" (201cm)</li> <li>Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox</li> <li>Record - 9-1-0 vs 10-0-0</li> <li>UFC Record - 3-1-0 vs 1-0-0</li> </ul> <h2>Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto: Betting Preview</h2> <p>Both fighters are in the early stages of their professional fighting careers, particularly in the UFC. This is something worth considering.</p> <p>Diniz brings the Brazilian flair, but he does have a recent loss to his name, having been stopped in one of his most recent fights. Pinto hasn’t tasted defeat as a pro, but does only has one UFC fight under his belt.</p> <p>These are things that could all come into play when the pair step inside the Octagon in Rio de Janeiro…</p> <p>Diniz’s Last Five Fights:</p> <ul> <li>Alvin Hines - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2025</li> <li>Marcin Tybura - Loss (TKO, 2) - Nov 2024</li> <li>Karl Williams - Win (UD, 3) - Aug 2024</li> <li>Austen Lane - Win (TKO, 2) - Apr 2024</li> <li>Eduardo Neves - Win (TKO, 1) - Sep 2023</li> <li>&nbsp;</li> </ul> <p>Pinto’s Last Five Opponents:</p> <ul> <li>Austen Lane - Win (TKO, 2) - Mar 2025</li> <li>Lucas Camacho - Win (TKO, 1) - Oct 2024</li> <li>Kasim Aras - Win (UD, 5) - Feb 2024</li> <li>Benjamin Šehić - Win (TKO, 3) - Oct 2023</li> <li>Moreno Kacapor - Win (UD, 3) - Mar 2023</li> </ul> <h2>Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto: Betting Predictions</h2> <p>The <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches/jhonata-diniz-v-mario-pinto-9689906">betting odds for Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto</a> are extremely close, with Diniz edging them slightly.</p> <p>However, our betting prediction is that Pinto takes the win in this upcoming fight. We believe he has the better form and should be able to use his power to get a victory in Brazil.</p> <p>We don’t expect this fight to go the distance, with Pinto to end it early. He has only needed a decision to win on three occasions. If you want to try and find further value, we think a TKO/KO is the best option for victory, with three of his last wins by way of this method, including in his sole UFC appearance.</p>
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