UFC Fight Night Rio: Polastri vs Kowalkiewicz Betting Predictions
09/10/2025|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
<p>Julia Polastri and Karolina Kowalkiewicz are two experienced fighters in the strawweight division, both ranking within the top 30 in the UFC.</p>
<p>Polastri is among the rising stars of the division, and she’ll get the chance to show her home crowd a little more, as the Rio de Janeiro native faces off against the Polish star in the second fight of the night at UFC Fight Night in Brazil.</p>
<p>The event will take place at the Farmasi Arena on Sunday, October 12, with this fight expected to take place shortly after it begins at 06:00 AEST.</p>
<h2>Julia Polastri vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz: Tale of the Tape</h2>
<p>How do the two fighters compare? Understanding the makeup of athletes can help form opinions and decisions that may provide betting value.</p>
<p>Let’s examine each of these powerful women, starting with Polastri’s key statistics…</p>
<p> </p>
<ul>
<li>Age - 27 vs 39</li>
<li>Height - 5'2" (157cm) vs 5'3" (160cm)</li>
<li>Weight - 116.0 lbs (52.6 kgs) vs 115.5 lbs (52.4 kgs)</li>
<li>Reach - 63.0" (160cm) vs 64.0" (163cm)</li>
<li>Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox</li>
<li>Record - 13-5-0 vs 16-9-0</li>
<li>UFC Record - 1-2-0 vs 9-9-0</li>
</ul>
<h2>Julia Polastri vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz: Betting Preview</h2>
<p>The age gap between the two fighters is too big to ignore, with a 12-year difference between them. Elsewhere, they are evenly matched, which suggests we could be in for a good fight early on the card.</p>
<p>If there’s a concern, it might be regarding the records that they share as UFC fighters. Polastri has lost two of her three, while Kowalkiewicz is 9-9-0. She has lost her last two consecutive bouts, whereas Polastri has two defeats in her last three.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Polastri’s Last Five Fights:</p>
<ul>
<li>Lupita Godinez - Loss (UD, 3) - Mar 2025</li>
<li>Cory McKenna - Win (SD, 3) - Oct 2024</li>
<li>Josefine Knutsson - Loss (UD, 3) - Jun 2024</li>
<li>Patricia Alujas - Win (Sub, 2) - Sep 2023</li>
<li>Brenda Gottig - Win (Sub, 1) - Jan 2023</li>
</ul>
<p> </p>
<p>Kowalkiewicz’s Last Five Opponents:</p>
<ul>
<li>Denise Gomes - Loss (UD, 3) - Nov 2024</li>
<li>Iasmin Lucindo - Loss (UD, 3) - May 2024</li>
<li>Diana Belbiţă - Win (UD, 3) - Oct 2023</li>
<li>Vanessa Demopoulos - Win (UD, 3) - May 2023</li>
<li>Silvana Gómez Juárez - Win (UD, 3) - Nov 2022</li>
</ul>
<h2>Julia Polastri vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz: Betting Predictions</h2>
<p>The Brazilian is the huge favourite to win in the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches/julia-polastri-v-karolina-kowalkiewicz-9681733">betting odds for Julia Polastri vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz</a> at Sportsbet.</p>
<p>With the age gap too big to ignore, we’d back her to get the victory in front of her home crowd and capitalise on the Polish fighter’s poor form. We have two betting predictions that we think could provide a little extra value if wagering on this encounter.</p>
<p>We would recommend backing the fight to go the distance, as most of Kowalkiewicz’s fights often do. In her UFC career, only four of her 18 haven’t. We’d also back Polastri to win by decision, as her last three have also gone the distance.</p>
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