The two are among the top UFC welterweight weight fighters in the UFC currently, and will pit themselves against each other inside the Octagon on Sunday, April 19, from 07:00 AEST.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Malott to win

Value bet: Fight to go the distance

Long shot: Malott to win by decision

Tale of the Tape

Burns aims to mix aggressive striking bursts with takedowns, creating chaos for power shots or submissions while using deep cardio to push into later rounds.

Malott plans a disciplined, technical stand-up game with jabs, kicks, and distance control to avoid brawls, and defends grappling with strength and counters with volume.

Malott enters the fight on the back of a three-win streak, including one by unanimous decision against Kevin Holland less than six months ago.

By contrast, Burns has lost his last four in a row and hasn't fought in almost a year.

How do the two compare? Burns's figures are first…

• Age - 39 vs 34

• Height - 5'10" (178cm) vs 6'1" (185cm)

• Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox

• Record - 22-9-0 vs 13-2-1

• KO Record - 6 vs 5

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Burns's last five fights:

• Michael Morales - Loss (TKO, 1) - May 2025

• Sean Brady - Loss (UD, 5) - Sep 2024

• Jack Della Maddalena - Loss (TKO, 3) - Mar 2024

• Belal Muhammad - Loss (UD, 5) - May 2023

• Jorge Masvidal - Win (UD, 3) - Apr 2023

Malott's last five fights:

• Kevin Holland - Win (UD, 3) - Oct 2025

• Charles Radtke - Win (TKO, 2) - May 2025

• Trevin Giles - Win (UD, 3) - Nov 2024

• Neil Magny - Loss (TKO, 3) - Jan 2024

• Adam Fugitt - Win (Sub, 2) - Jun 2023

Betting Markets to Watch

Malott enters the upcoming headline bout at UFC Fight Night odds as the big early favourite to win.

Indeed, his fight form and Burns's poor recent outings would help to validate the low price that the Canadian has already received.

Still, there's potential to find value in the Malott markets to win the fight. Primarily, the decision market.

Five of Gilbert Burns' six previous UFC fights as an underdog against orthodox opponents have gone the distance.

Malott may not often be forced to go the distance, having done so just twice (two wins), but Burns has seen 12 of his fights go all the way (7 wins, 5 losses).

Burns is an exceptionally experienced veteran inside the Octagon, and could test Malott's stamina over five rounds.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Burns vs Malott betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think the most likely outcome is for a Malott win, but we think there's value in the fight going the distance.

Burns is an accomplished fighter, despite being on a four-fight skid and aging.

Burns' durability and elite resume make this a fight that Malott will have to work hard in.

For more UFC tips and predictions, check out our full coverage ahead of this weekend's action.