Adesanya vs Pyfer Prediction & Betting Odds

In the upcoming UFC Fight Night event in Seattle, Washington, Israel Adesanya and Joe Pyfer will headline the card when they square off inside the Octagon.

With the event starting from 08:00 AEDT on Sunday, March 29, this contest won't take place for a few hours, meaning there'll be plenty of time to look for value options in the betting.

Tale of the Tape

Israel Adesanya and Joe Pyfer present a compelling stylistic clash in their upcoming UFC middleweight bout, pitting elite counter-striking against aggressive power punching and grappling pressure. Adesanya's technical precision at range contrasts with Pyfer's forward pressure and dual-threat capabilities.

Adesanya excels as a freestyle striker with exceptional distance management, feints, and counter-striking. He blends punches, kicks, and elbows while using lateral movement to create angles and evade attacks. Pyfer favours a clean, patient, powerful striking base with knockout power, particularly his overhand right, backed by efficient wrestling and submissions.

We've compared the two fighters below, with Evloev's figures first…

• Age - 36 vs 29

• Height - 6'4" (193cm) vs 6'2" (188cm)

• Stance - Switch vs Southpaw

• Record - 24-5-0 vs 15-3-0

• KO Record - 16 vs 9

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Adesanya's last five fights:

• Nassourdine Imavov - Loss (TKO, 2) - Feb 2025

• Dricus Du Plessis - Loss (Sub, 4) - Aug 2024

• Sean Strickland - Loss (UD, 5) - Sep 2023

• Alex Pereira - Win (TKO, 2) - Apr 2023

• Alex Pereira - Loss (TKO, 5) - Nov 2022

Pyfer's last five fights:

• Abus Magomedov - Win (Sub, 2) - Oct 2025

• Kelvin Gastelum - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2025

• Marc-André Barriault - Win (TKO, 1) - Jun 2024

• Jack Hermansson - Loss (UD, 5) - Feb 2024

• Abdul Razak Alhassan - Win (Sub, 2) - Oct 2023

Betting Markets to Watch

Adesanya is considered the favourite in the latest UFC betting odds, but his recent five-fight form would suggest that there's value in Pyfer. The American is on a three-win streak and has been impressive in those victories.

His aggressive pressure and grappling entries make him dangerous if Adesanya cedes the centre or shows ring rust early. His clinch-wrestling exploits Izzy's fence defence (crumbled vs DDP), and his power right has hurt veterans; unproven cardio is the risk, but three-round fades don't guarantee five-round issues against ageing strikers.

We think this fight is unlikely to go the distance. Pyfer's finishing rate (13 of 15 wins via stoppage) and path through grappling pressure point to a sub or late TKO, while Adesanya's recent vulnerabilities amplify the potential for chaos. A TKO/KO victory has potential.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Adesanya vs Pyfer betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think there's value in Pyfer to win this contest, given the early odds set. Adesanya has recently been shown to be vulnerable in defence, with his technique exposed. His age doesn't help him in this contest, with the American in some of the best form of his life. For more insights, check out our UFC tips and predictions.