The duo will clash on the Italian clay on Wednesday, May 13 (3am AEST), with the winner advancing to the final four, where they will meet either Jessica Pegula or Iga Swiatek.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Rybakina to win

Value bet: Rybakina - To Win 1st Set

Long shot: Rybakina to win 2-1 in set betting

Betting Preview

Meetings between these two top #10 female stars have typically been close, with the H2H in favour of Rybakina. Of the seven matches played across all courts and competitions, Rybakina edges it 4-3.

They’ve met once this year already, with Rybakina winning that one in straight sets at Indian Wells in the semi-finals.

Looking at clay performances, both have enjoyed this surface over the last 52 weeks. Svitolina has gone 10-4 in this period, whereas Rybakina has gone 16-2.

Over their careers, Svitolina is 104-48 on clay, with Rybakina 67-23.

To reach the quarter-finals, Svitolina has yet to drop a set. She’s beaten Noemi Basiletti (6-1, 6-3), Hailey Baptiste (6-1, 6-2), and Nikola Bartunkova (6-2, 6-3).

Rybakina has yet to drop a set herself, adding to the competitiveness this upcoming clash suggests. She defeated Maria Sakkari (6-4, 6-1), Alexandra Eala (6-4, 6-3), and Karolina Pliskova (6-0, 6-2) to secure her place in the final four.

Betting Markets to Watch

The betting markets have Rybakina as the early favourite, with her odds relatively short on the moneyline. Indeed, it’s likely that her recent win over Svitolina is reflected in these odds, although it’s worth pointing out that the Ukrainian is strong on clay.

Svitolina has two wins over Rybakina on clay, with wins in Strasbourg (2020) and Madrid (2025). It’s worth noting that there has been a defeat on this surface against her upcoming opponent, though, which happened in the 2024 French Open.

Rybakina won in straight sets on that occasion, winning 6-4, 6-3, in the Round of 16.

Furthermore, Rybakina has won each of her last 14 WTA main draw matches against opponents 30 or older, which also adds weight to the odds that have been set for her.

Rybakina has won the first set in 12 of her last 13 WTA main draw matches on clay against opponents 30 or older, meaning there’s value in the ‘Elena Rybakina - To Win 1st Set’ market.

Our Prediction

You can check out the latest Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is for Rybakina to be the likely winner.

Long shot value may be found in the set betting market, especially given this contest's expected competitiveness. The ‘Elena Rybakina 2-1’ looks to offer value, especially as Svitolina has all the quality to make it a hard afternoon for the favourite.