Novak Djokovic arrived in this Wimbledon quarterfinal having just rewritten history, becoming the first man to reach 106 career singles wins at the All England Club and passing Roger Federer’s long-standing record along the way.

Standing across the net is Felix Auger-Aliassime, into his first Wimbledon last-eight since 2021 and armed with a serve that fired 26 aces in his previous outing.

Djokovic leads the head-to-head 2-1, but uncharted grass-court territory awaits this rivalry.

• Competition: Wimbledon 2026, Men’s Singles Quarterfinal
• Venue: All England Club, Wimbledon, London
• Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
• Start Time: 10:30 PM AEST (Tuesday)

Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovic Form and Head to Head

Djokovic holds a 2-1 edge in the head-to-head, though tellingly, none of those meetings have come on grass.

Djokovic edged their 2022 Rome Masters quarterfinal 7-5, 7-6(1) on clay, while Auger-Aliassime struck back at the 2022 Laver Cup with a 6-3, 7-6(3) hard-court win. Both arrive battle-hardened.

The Canadian survived a brutal five-setter against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 6-7(4), 7-6(6), 6-3, 6-7(2), 6-1, lasting 4 hours 26 minutes. Djokovic needed four sets in each of his last two matches, seeing off Roman Safiullin 7-6(6), 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 after a fourth-set tiebreak in his round-three match with Arthur Rinderknech.

The Weight of Years Against the Weight of Legs

At 39, Djokovic showed visible physical strain against Rinderknech, repeatedly striking his legs between points - a reminder of the physical demands at this stage of his career.

Yet he has reached a remarkable ninth straight Wimbledon quarterfinal, a testament to his enduring class on this surface. Auger-Aliassime, the No. 3 seed, carries fresher legs in career terms but plenty of tread from that marathon fourth-round win.

How the Canadian’s body responds after 4hrs 26min could shape the contest as much as anything.

Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovic Betting Markets

The markets leave little doubt about the favourite, with Djokovic priced short and model projections handing him roughly a 64% win probability.

Head to our Wimbledon punting tips page at Sportsbet for the latest prices across this quarterfinal.

Beyond the outright, the set betting and total games markets carry genuine appeal given both men’s recent tendency to go the distance.

Auger-Aliassime’s serving numbers also make the aces and first-set markets worth a look, with his 26-ace haul last time out underlining his most dangerous weapon.

Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovic Prediction: Our Pick

Djokovic’s experience and grass-court pedigree should see him through, but Auger-Aliassime looks well placed to grab at least one set along the way.

The seven-time champion’s ninth consecutive Wimbledon quarterfinal tells you everything about his mastery of these lawns, and a 64% model projection reflects a deserved favouritism.

Still, this rivalry has never touched grass, and Auger-Aliassime’s serving (26 aces against Davidovich Fokina) gives him the firepower to hold serve and pinch a set through the tiebreak lottery. Djokovic’s visible physical wear at 39 adds intrigue.

The risk for the Canadian is that fatigue from his 4hr26 epic bites early, but backing him to claim a set alongside a Djokovic victory splits the difference nicely.