
Tunisia may have already been eliminated from the tournament, but the Netherlands are still going to have to be professional if they are to top Group F and secure their place in the knockout stage as winners.
The Oranje struggled in their opener against Japan but then put on a clinic against Sweden, scoring five and limiting the Swede’s world-class attack to just one goal. Tunisia have had a tumultuous campaign, conceding nine goals in two games, scoring once, and firing their manager after the opener. We already think you know where this match might be going…
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Quick Picks
Our pick: Netherlands to win
Value bet: Over 3.5 Goals
Long shot: Summerville to score anytime
Tunisia vs Netherlands prediction
Tunisia are likely to have their backs against the wall in this one, especially as Ronald Koeman’s side is starting to find a new gear after a slightly disappointing opener against Japan. Although they managed to take a point, it wasn’t their best performance. However, their clash against Sweden will leave the African nation fearful.
Given Herve Renard’s side have already conceded nine goals in two Group Stage matches, this might be a game in which it may be a case of not if the Netherlands win, but by how many.
As a result, it’s not a surprise the European nation are considered strong pre-match favourites in the moneyline odds, and as our Tunisia vs Netherlands betting odds page shows, the markets reflect that gap clearly.
Indeed, we think it’s likely that they will win, with more value likely to be in the goal markets…
If you fancy backing the Dutch attack to fire, brush up on how a multi bet works before stacking your legs, and have a squiz at the World Cup betting markets to see where the value sits for this one.
Tunisia vs Netherlands score prediction
With Tunisia’s porous defence and the Netherlands’ potent attack, the value is going to be in the markets that feature a higher number of goals. The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ is likely to hit, but that is reflected in the short odds that have been provided.
That’s why we think there is better value in the ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market. Tunisia “improved” against Japan by conceding four, but they’ve already shown they can be outclassed by European competition, with Sweden knocking five past them.
Koeman’s men were rampant against the Swedes that had obliterated the Tunisians, which is why value in the ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market.
Furthermore, the 'Over 3.5 Goals' market has hit during regulation time in each of the Netherlands' last four tournament matches.
The Netherlands has led 1-0 at half-time in three of its last four Group Stage night matches, suggesting there is value in this scoreline at half-time. The second half will likely see the Oranje grow further into the game, which is why the 4-0 correct score market has value.
Including qualifiers, the Netherlands has won three of its last four tournament night matches by this scoreline. In addition, with qualifiers included, the favourite has won seven of Tunisia's last eight World Cup matches to nil.
Player markets to watch
It will be interesting to see what route Koeman takes with his lineup in this game, with qualification still firmly in the balance.
Brian Brobbey was immense against Sweden, scoring twice and potentially proving his worth as a starter after only getting the final few moments from the bench against Japan.
If he starts, he’s good value as an anytime goalscorer, as the Dutch were able to unlock him with their style of play.
Cody Gakpo is also an individual who performs well in the big tournaments for his country, having netted twice in the game against Sweden. He will also have some value in the anytime goalscorer market.
Crysencio Summerville has been enjoying his tournament so far and has proven to be a real threat in both games. The rumoured Manchester United target value in the ‘To Score or Assist’ market, as he can create opportunities, as well as finish them off from distance if given space. Against Tunisia, this is something he will likely have.
Tunisia vs Netherlands Match Details
Date: Friday, June 26, 2026.
Kick-off: 9:00am AEST.
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.
Where to watch: Sportsbet, SBS.
Where to Watch Tunisia vs Netherlands
For the first time ever, Sportsbet is offering punters the chance to stream World Cup matches live*.
To watch Sportsbet's live streams of the World Cup, you must:
- Be 18+.
- Have a Sportsbet account.
- Be logged into your Sportsbet account.
- Have a positive balance OR have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.
World Cup streaming is available both in-app and on-web. As long as you meet the above requirements, you'll be able to tune in on your computer, tablet or phone.
To access the stream for Tunisia vs Netherlands simply find your way to the official betting page for this match. Or, if you have a bet on the game you can watch from your "My Bets" section.
Traditional World Cup broadcaster SBS is also showing every World Cup match, meaning you can also watch Tunisia vs Netherlands on either SBS, SBS Viceland or SBS On Demand.
*18+ Available to Sportsbet customers only. Conditions apply – see sportsbet.com.au
*Odds are subject to change.


