The Melbourne Storm host the Newcastle Knights on Friday night in what is shaping up to be a match of whose momentum is more reliable.

The Storm come into the clash off an impressive defensive performance, while Newcastle arrive brimming with confidence after stringing together four wins in a row.

The Knights have been particularly dangerous in attack during their winning streak, averaging 32.4 points per game across their last five outings.

However, Melbourne will be eager to prove their home fortress remains difficult to win at.

For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of this match, check out our Storm vs Knights tips and predictions below.

Storm vs Knights Prediction and Betting Tips 

Head-to-Head Prediction 

On the team news front, the Storm will be without Nick Meaney due to a calf injury, with Manaia Waitere stepping into the centres, while Shawn Blore has been listed among the reserves as he works his way back from concussion.

For the Knights, a calf injury to Sandon Smith has forced a reshuffle in the halves, with Fletcher Sharpe sliding to five-eighth and Fletcher Hunt moving from the bench into the centres.

The biggest storyline heading into the game is the emergence of Dylan Lucas, who has scored five tries in his last four games and gives Newcastle genuine strike power on the edge. Like, did you see him run past Isaiah Iongi, as fast as The Flash!

Melbourne’s attack has been a concern, having scored 20 points or less six times in their previous nine matches.

Despite this, Melbourne has won two of their past three matches and is playing more confidently and finding their old selves again as they hope to make the finals.

We expect Melbourne to defeat the Knights and end their month-long winning run.

Betting tip: Melbourne Storm. 

First Try Scorer Prediction 

The Melbourne Storm have shown in their attack that they like to go left, and with Moses Leo’s solid performance against the Roosters, he could replicate it against the Knights, who were tested against a bottom-four team in the Eels.

Moses Leo has already scored the first try of a game this season, and with Harry Grant and Cameron Munster in form, Leo could maximise playing off the ball-playing and wizardry around the ruck and put the ball down for a try to start the game.

Betting tip: Moses Leo.

Over/Under Prediction 

Each of Melbourne's last three home matches against Newcastle has gone over the total match points line.

Betting tip: Over (49.5) total match points. 

Line Prediction

The Storm have covered this line when they have played the Knights in their last two meetings.

Betting tip: Storm (-3.5) line. 

Storm vs Knights Anytime Try Scorer Betting Tips 

Will Warbrick

Will Warbrick has scored a try in each of his last four home appearances against teams on a winning streak.

Harry Grant

Harry Grant has scored a try in each of his last three appearances.

Ativalu Lisati

Ativalu Lisati has scored a try in three of his last four appearances with Melbourne as a favourite at AAMI Park.

Dominic Young

Dominic Young has scored at least one try in each of Newcastle's last three interstate matches.

Greg Marzhew

Greg Marzhew has scored at least one try in each of Newcastle's last four matches.

Storm vs Roosters Teams 

Melbourne Storm Team List 

1. Sua Fa’alogo

2. Will Warbrick

3. Jack Howarth

4. Manaia Waitere

5. Moses Leo

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Stefano Utoikamanu 

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Cooper Clarke

12. Ativalu Lisati

13. Trent Loiero

14. Trent Toelau

15. Alec Maconald

16. Jack Hetherington

17. Josiah Pahulu

18. Joe Chan

Newcastle Knights Team List 

1. Kalyn Ponga

2. Dominic Young

3. Dane Gagai 

4. Fletcher Hunt

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Fletcher Sharpe

7. Dylan Brown

8. Jacob Saifiti

9. Phoenix Crossland

10. Trey Mooney

11. Dylan Lucas

12. Jermaine McEwen

13. Mat Croker

14. Harrison Graham

15. Tyson Frizell

16. Pasami Saulo

17. Thomas Cant

18. Cody Hopwood

Storm vs Knights Match Details 

Date: Friday, June 5, 2026. 

Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST. 

Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne.