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Sydney Roosters vs Melbourne Storm Prediction – Round 21 2025

24/07/2025|Joel Caine|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips

Two teams coming off a loss will do battle as the Sydney Roosters host the Melbourne Storm at Allianz Stadium on Thursday night.

The Roosters currently sit two points outside the top eight after their 31-18 loss to the Sharks last Friday, making every game crucial in the run home.

Meanwhile, the Storm suffered defeat at AAMI Park for the first time this season, shocked 18-16 by Manly in a boilover for the ages.

The Chad Townsend experiment lasted a single game, with Sandon Smith reinstated to partner Sam Walker in Sydney’s halves.

Victor Radley and Billy Smith are out injured, meaning Ethan King will start in the centres while Siua Wong returns at lock.

For the Storm, Cameron Munster will miss due to personal reasons, seeing Tyran Wishart start at five-eighth. Nelson Asofa-Solomona has been suspended with Bronson Garlick and Kane Bradley joining the bench.

This also marks the first meeting between these sides since Melbourne demolished Sydney 48-18 in last season’s preliminary finals. Can the Chooks extract a measure of revenge here? Let’s find out!

Our Sydney Roosters vs Melbourne Storm match preview has plenty of betting tips and predictions across a host of markets for you to check out. From H2H to anytime try scorer and everything in between. 

So, for all the latest news, analysis, odds, and betting tips ahead of this mouthwatering matchup, check out our Roosters vs Storm prediction below.

 

Roosters vs Storm Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

Start as you mean to go on. The opening game of NRL round 21 is an absolute beauty, with old foes the Sydney Roosters and the Melbourne Storm meeting at Allianz Stadium on Thursday night.

Both lost last week in games they would have fancied their chances in before kick-off.

There’s not a whole lot of shame for the Chooks losing to the Sharks on the road, but for the Storm they would have fully expected to beat Manly, particularly at AAMI Park.

That slip up could cost them the minor premiership, but Storm supporters relax, your boys are still the outright favourites for the Provan-Summons trophy.

They’re also outright favourites to win this one, which we think they will, but don’t expect the Roosters to go quietly in front of their own.

Betting tip: Melbourne Storm.

 

First Try Scorer Prediction

Mark Nawaqanitawase has been the first try-scorer in each of Sydney's last two matches against opponents that were ranked in the top four.

Betting tip: Mark Nawaqanitawase.

 

Over/Under Prediction

Six of Sydney's last seven home matches have gone over the total match points line.

Betting tip: Over total match points (45.5).

 

Line Prediction

Melbourne has failed to cover the line in each of its last six interstate night matches.

Betting tip: Sydney Rooster (+5.5).

 

Roosters vs Storm Anytime Tryscorer Betting Tips

 

Daniel Tupou

Daniel Tupou has scored at least one try in each of Sydney's last five matches in Sydney.

 

Xavier Coates

Xavier Coates has scored at least one try in four of his last five appearances against Sydney.

 

James Tedesco

James Tedesco has scored a try in each of Sydney's last four home matches.

 

Jahrome Hughes

Jahrome Hughes has scored at least one try in each of his last three appearances with Melbourne as a favourite against Sydney.

 

Eliesa Katoa

Eliesa Katoa has scored at least one try in three of Melbourne's last four matches.

 

Roosters vs Storm Teams

 

Sydney Roosters Team List

1. James Tedesco

2. Daniel Tupou

3. Ethan King

4. Robert Toia

5. Mark Nawaqanitawase

6. Sandon Smith 

7. Sam Walker

8. Naufahu Whyte

9. Connor Watson

10. Lindsay Collins

11. Angus Crichton

12. Salesi Foketi

13. Siua Wong

14. Zach Dockar-Clay

15. Blake Steep

16. Egan Butcher

17. Spencer Leniu

 

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Nick Meaney 

2. Grant Anderson

3. Jack Howarth

4. Joe Chan  

5. Xavier Coates

6. Tyran Wishart

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Stefano Utoikamanu

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Shawn Blore

12. Eli Katoa

13. Trent Loiero

14. Bronson Garlick

15. Ativalu Lisati

16. Tui Kamikamica

17. Kane Bradley

 

Roosters vs Storm Match Details

 

Date: Thursday, July 24, 2025.

Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST.

Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney. 

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