Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders Prediction – Round 5 2026
02/04/2026|SB Staff|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips
The Newcastle Knights prepare to host the Canberra Raiders in a game that highlights two teams heading in entirely different directions.
One side looks completely revitalized and ready to cement their status as premiership contenders. The other is desperately searching for answers after a highly disappointing start to their campaign.
The Newcastle Knights have been one of the standout success stories of the early 2026 season. Sitting comfortably at 4th on the NRL ladder, they look like a completely transformed unit under the guidance of new coach Justin Holbrook.
While the Knights are riding a wave of momentum, the Canberra Raiders find themselves in a deep early-season hole.
Sitting way down in 15th position on the ladder, the Raiders have managed just one win from their opening four matches.
Can they stop the rot here against an undermanned Newcastle side? Let’s find out! For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of this Easter Sunday showdown, check out our Knights vs Raiders tips and predictions below.
Knights vs Raiders Prediction and Betting Tips
Head-to-Head Prediction
Easter Sunday serves up a sticky situation in terms of tipping, with the under-strength Knights hosting the out of form Raiders.
Speaking of Sticky, the Canberra boss will be less than impressed with his side’s start to the season, particularly after they finished last year as minor premiers.
Just one win so far in 2026 has the Green Machine sitting in 15th. However they are favourites heading into this one, such is the state of Newcastle’s roster.
With both Ponga and Brown sidelined, the injury coerces look set to continue in the Hunter, with Fletcher Sharpe appearing to have re-injured his knee in the closing stages of his side’s win against the Canterbury.
Even at home, surely this many injuries to this many key players will prove too much for the brave Knights to overcome. So, we’re taking Canberra in a close one.
Betting tip: Canberra Raiders.
First Try Scorer Prediction
When discussing the Newcastle Knights' attacking threats, you simply cannot ignore Greg Marzhew. The powerhouse winger has become an absolute nightmare for opposition defenses, and he holds a particularly terrifying record against the Canberra Raiders.
The statistics speak for themselves. Marzhew has crossed the try line 6 times in just 7 career games against the Green Machine. He clearly knows how to exploit the specific defensive structures that Canberra utilizes on the edges and as a result is our tip for first try scorer in this one.
Betting tip: Greg Marzhew.
Over/Under Prediction
Each of Newcastle's last four home matches have gone over the total match points line.
Betting tip: Over (47.5) total match points.
Line Prediction
The away team has covered the line in five of Canberra's last six matches.
Betting tip: Raiders (-4.5) line.
Knights vs Raiders Teams
Newcastle Knights Team List
1. Fletcher Hunt
2. Dominic Young
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Fletcher Sharpe
7. Sandon Smith
8. Jacob Saifiti (c)
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Trey Mooney
11. Dylan Lucas
12. Jermaine McEwen
13. Mat Croker
14. Harrison Graham
15. Tyson Frizell
16. Pasami Saulo
17. Thomas Cant
18. Tyson Gamble
Canberra Raiders Team List
1. Kaeo Weekes
2. Savielo Tamale
3. Simi Sasagi
4. Sebastian Kris
5. Xavier Savage
6. Ethan Strange
7. Ethan Sanders
8. Josh Papali’i
9. Tom Starling
10. Joe Tapine (c)
11. Hudson Young
12. Noah Martin
13. Corey Horsburgh
14. Jayden Brailey
15. Zac Hosking
16. Ata Mariota
17. Morgan Smithies
18. Chevy Stewart
Knights vs Raiders Match Details
Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026.
Kick-off: 5:05pm AEDT.
Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle.


