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Parramatta Eels vs New Zealand Warriors Prediction – Round 9 2026

30/04/2026|SB Staff|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips

A clash between the Eels and the Warriors pitches a side searching for form against one of the in-form teams.

Andrew Webster’s Warriors have won three on the trot to soar to second on the ladder, while Saturday’s match provides another opportunity to solidify their place in the top four.

The Eels fought valiantly last weekend but fell away in the second half to lose to the Sea Eagles at 4 Pines Park, and Round 9 gives Jason Ryles’ side the chance to return home and recreate the form that saw them stun the Bulldogs a fortnight ago.

With Mitchell Moses holding the key for Parramatta and Dally M leader Jackson Ford lighting up for the Warriors, this shapes as a fascinating battle between two contrasting sides heading in very different directions.

For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of this match, check out our Eels vs Warriors tips and predictions below.

 

Parramatta Eels vs New Zealand Warriors Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

With an unchanged squad from last week, though Dylan Walker was swapped to the bench for Jack De Belin after suffering an arm injury in the loss to the Sea Eagles from a brutal tackle from Haumole Olakau’atu.

Co-captain Mitchell Barnett and centre Ali Leiataua are both in concussion protocols after leaving the field during the ANZAC Day win over the Dolphins, while forward Marata Niukore is also subject to head injury procedures.

On the positive side for New Zealand, Adam Pompey returns from suspension to fill the centre vacancy, Tanner Stowers-Smith comes back onto the bench from a hamstring complaint, and players Luke Metcalf and Te Maire Martin are both making their way back from injury.

A massive milestone looms for the visitors, with Saturday’s match representing the Warriors’ 400th premiership game played in Australia, a significant marker for a club that has come a long way since crossing the Tasman.

We expect the Warriors to dominate this matchup with the Eels given their forms to start the season.

Betting tip: New Zealand Warriors.

 

First Try Scorer Prediction

Since Alofiana Khan-Pereira has played for the Warriors this season, he has scored the first try of the game twice.

The Warriors have scored the first try of the game in every game this season.

Betting tip: Alofiana Khan-Pereira

 

Over/Under Prediction

Each of New Zealand's last six away matches have gone over the total match points line.

Betting tip: Over (53.5) total match points.

 

Line Prediction

The away team has covered the line in seven of the last eight matches between Parramatta and New Zealand.

Betting tip: Warriors (-6.5) line.

 

Eels vs Warriors Anytime Try Scorer Betting Tips

 

Josh Addo-Carr 

Josh Addo-Carr has scored at least one try in each of his last seven appearances against New Zealand.

 

Will Penisini 

Will Penisini has scored a try in each of his last three home appearances.

 

Dallin Watene-Zelezniak

Dallin Watene-Zelezniak has scored at least one try in each of New Zealand's last four matches.

 

Leka Halasima

Leka Halasima has scored a try in three of New Zealand's last four matches as an away favourite.

 

Eels vs Warriors Teams

 

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Joash Papalii

2. Brian Kelly 

3. Will Penisini

4. Sean Russell

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Ronald Volkman

7. Mitch Moses (c)

8. Luca Moretti

9. Ryley Smith

10. Junior Paulo

11. Charlie Guymer

12. Jack Williams

13. Jack De Belin

14. Tallyn Da Silva

15. Saxon Pryke

16. Toni Mataele

17. Dylan Walker

18. Kelma Tuilagi

 

New Zealand Warriors Team List

1. Taine Tuaupiki

2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak

3. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck

4. Adam Pompey

5. Alofiana Khan-Pereira

6. Chanel Harris-Tevita

7. Tanah Boyd

8. James Fisher-Harris (c)

9. Wayde Egan

10. Jackson Ford

11. Leka Halasima

12. Kurt Capewell

13. Erin Clark

14. Sam Healey

15. Tanner Stowers-Smith

16. Demitric Vaimauga

17. Jacob Laban

18. Eddie Ieremia-Toeava

 

Eels vs Warriors Match Details

 

Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026.

Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST.

Location: Commbank Stadium, Sydney.

Betting Suspended

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