Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm Prediction – Round 11 2026
14/05/2026|SB Staff|NRL Expert Predictions & TipsWith their seven-game losing streak behind them, the Melbourne Storm will face the Parramatta Eels at Suncorp Stadium for Magic Round on Saturday night.
These two sides met earlier this year in Round 1, where the Storm trounced the Eels 52-4 for their seventh straight win in this matchup.
Craig Bellamy’s side are coming into the match off the back of their first victory since Round 2, as their stars returned to form in a 44-16 thrashing of the Tigers.
Meanwhile, the Eels were able to cause a huge upset on the road, beating the Cowboys 33-30 in golden point.
Parramatta coach Jason Ryles has rewarded his side’s grittiness against the Cowboys by naming the same 17 for this matchup.
Sualauvi Faalogo has been cleared to play for the Storm, with Moses Leo replacing Hugo Peel in the only change to the side.
For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of this Saturday showdown, check out our Eels vs Storm tips and predictions below.
Eels vs Storm Prediction and Betting Tips
Head-to-Head Prediction
Regardless of Melbourne’s recent form Parramatta must have been sick when they saw who they had drawn for Magic Round.
They played Melbourne in Magic Round twice before, conceding a total of 112 points across those two meetings, while only scoring 26. Yikes.
Yes, Melbourne are actually sitting below Parra on the ladder in 15th, but they did finally end their losing streak last week, largely thanks to megastar Munster who appears to be heating up just in time for Origin.
All in all, this should be a lot closer than the last two Magic Round matches between these two, but that H2H record is simply too one-sided to ignore, we’re siding with the Storm here.
Betting tip: Melbourne Storm.
First Try Scorer Prediction
We’re backing road warrior Sualauvi Fa'alogo here, who simply loves playing away from home.
Fa'alogo has scored at least one try in each of Melbourne's last five interstate matches and we’re tipping him to make it six and cross for the opener in this one.
Betting tip: Sualauvi Fa'alogo.
Over/Under Prediction
Each of Parramatta's last four interstate matches have gone over the total match points line.
Betting tip: Over (54.5) total match points.
Line Prediction
Melbourne has failed to cover the line in each of its last seven night matches.
Betting tip: Eels (+8.5) line.
Eels vs Storm Anytime Try Scorer Betting Tips
Brian Kelly
Brian Kelly has scored at least one try in each of his last four appearances in Queensland.
Will Warbrick
Will Warbrick has scored a try in each of his last five appearances against Parramatta.
Josh Addo-Carr
Josh Addo-Carr has scored at least one try in each of his last three appearances against Melbourne.
Harry Grant
Harry Grant has scored at least one try in seven of Melbourne's last eight matches against Parramatta.
Tallyn Da Silva
Tallyn Da Silva has scored a try in each of his last two appearances in the starting lineup.
Ativalu Lisati
Ativalu Lisati has scored a try in two of his last three appearances with Melbourne as a favourite.
Eels vs Storm Teams
Parramatta Eels Team List
1. Joash Papali'i
2. Brian Kelly
3. Jordan Samrani
4. Sean Russell
5. Josh Addo-Carr
6. Ronald Volkman
7. Mitchell Moses (c)
8. Luca Moretti
9. Tallyn Da Silva
10. Junior Paulo
11. Kelma Tuilagi
12. Jack Williams
13. Jack De Bellin
14. Dylan Walker
15. Saxon Pryke
16. Toni Mataele
17. Charlie Guymer
18. Apa Twidle
Melbourne Storm Team List
1. Sua Fa’alogo
2. Will Warbrick
3. Jack Howarth
4. Nick Meaney
5. Moses Leo
6. Cameron Munster
7. Jahrome Hughes
8. Stefano Utoikamanu
9. Harry Grant (c)
10. Josh King
11. Shawn Blore
12. Ativalu Lisati
17. Trent Loiero
14. Trent Toelau
15. Cooper Clark
16. Davvy Moale
17. Joe Chan
18. Stanley Huen
Eels vs Storm Match Details
Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026.
Kick-off: 7:45pm AEST.
Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane.


