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Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm Prediction – Round 11 2026

14/05/2026|SB Staff|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips

With their seven-game losing streak behind them, the Melbourne Storm will face the Parramatta Eels at Suncorp Stadium for Magic Round on Saturday night. 

These two sides met earlier this year in Round 1, where the Storm trounced the Eels 52-4 for their seventh straight win in this matchup. 

Craig Bellamy’s side are coming into the match off the back of their first victory since Round 2, as their stars returned to form in a 44-16 thrashing of the Tigers. 

Meanwhile, the Eels were able to cause a huge upset on the road, beating the Cowboys 33-30 in golden point. 

Parramatta coach Jason Ryles has rewarded his side’s grittiness against the Cowboys by naming the same 17 for this matchup. 

Sualauvi Faalogo has been cleared to play for the Storm, with Moses Leo replacing Hugo Peel in the only change to the side.

For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of this Saturday showdown, check out our Eels vs Storm tips and predictions below.

 

Eels vs Storm Prediction and Betting Tips 

 

Head-to-Head Prediction 

Regardless of Melbourne’s recent form Parramatta must have been sick when they saw who they had drawn for Magic Round.

They played Melbourne in Magic Round twice before, conceding a total of 112 points across those two meetings, while only scoring 26. Yikes.

Yes, Melbourne are actually sitting below Parra on the ladder in 15th, but they did finally end their losing streak last week, largely thanks to megastar Munster who appears to be heating up just in time for Origin.

All in all, this should be a lot closer than the last two Magic Round matches between these two, but that H2H record is simply too one-sided to ignore, we’re siding with the Storm here. 

Betting tip: Melbourne Storm. 

 

First Try Scorer Prediction 

We’re backing road warrior Sualauvi Fa'alogo here, who simply loves playing away from home. 

Fa'alogo has scored at least one try in each of Melbourne's last five interstate matches and we’re tipping him to make it six and cross for the opener in this one. 

Betting tip: Sualauvi Fa'alogo.

 

Over/Under Prediction 

Each of Parramatta's last four interstate matches have gone over the total match points line.

Betting tip: Over (54.5) total match points. 

 

Line Prediction

Melbourne has failed to cover the line in each of its last seven night matches.

Betting tip: Eels (+8.5) line. 

 

Eels vs Storm Anytime Try Scorer Betting Tips 

 

Brian Kelly

Brian Kelly has scored at least one try in each of his last four appearances in Queensland.

 

Will Warbrick

Will Warbrick has scored a try in each of his last five appearances against Parramatta.

 

Josh Addo-Carr

Josh Addo-Carr has scored at least one try in each of his last three appearances against Melbourne.

 

Harry Grant

Harry Grant has scored at least one try in seven of Melbourne's last eight matches against Parramatta.

 

Tallyn Da Silva

Tallyn Da Silva has scored a try in each of his last two appearances in the starting lineup.

 

Ativalu Lisati

Ativalu Lisati has scored a try in two of his last three appearances with Melbourne as a favourite.

 

Eels vs Storm Teams 

 

Parramatta Eels Team List 

1. Joash Papali'i

2. Brian Kelly

3. Jordan Samrani

4. Sean Russell

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Ronald Volkman

7. Mitchell Moses (c)

8. Luca Moretti

9. Tallyn Da Silva

10. Junior Paulo

11. Kelma Tuilagi

12. Jack Williams

13. Jack De Bellin

14. Dylan Walker

15. Saxon Pryke

16. Toni Mataele

17. Charlie Guymer

18. Apa Twidle

 

Melbourne Storm Team List 

1. Sua Fa’alogo

2. Will Warbrick

3. Jack Howarth

4. Nick Meaney

5. Moses Leo

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Stefano Utoikamanu 

9. Harry Grant (c)

10. Josh King

11. Shawn Blore

12. Ativalu Lisati

17. Trent Loiero

14. Trent Toelau

15. Cooper Clark 

16. Davvy Moale

17. Joe Chan 

18. Stanley Huen

 

Eels vs Storm Match Details 

 

Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026. 

Kick-off: 7:45pm AEST. 

Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane. 

 

 

Parramatta Eels
Melbourne Storm

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