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The Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors Prediction - Round 17 2026

25/06/2026|Joel Caine|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips

Well, folks, grab your popcorn, get comfy and get ready for one of the most anticipated matches this season.

The Dolphins host the New Zealand Warriors in a top-four contest, and it has the ingredients to be an NRL classic.

Both sides have been among the competition’s most watchable teams in 2026, combining an ability to produce scintillating attacking football with the defensive fortitude needed to win tight games when it matters most.

With only ladder positions and bragging rights separating these two evenly matched powerhouses, the result here could go a long way to determining who secures a crucial home final come September.

Andrew Woolf’s men are travelling to Suncorp riding a wave of momentum, but the Dolphins will be fully loaded and desperate to flex their top-three credentials in front of a packed home crowd.

For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of the latest instalment of this matchup, check out our Dolphins vs Warriors tips and predictions below.

 

Dolphins vs Warriors Prediction and Betting Tips 

 

Head-to-Head Prediction 

Major boosts ahead for the Dolphins, seeing their Origin stars return, and Isaiya Katoa is back after being ruled out shortly before the Tigers clash in Round 16.

Awful news for the Warriors broke earlier this week that Jackson Ford is out for 10-12 weeks with a pec injury, which is a shame considering he was having his career-best season.

A minor touch of PTSD to Warriors fans, but Luke Metcalf ruptured his ACL in Round 17 this time in 2025.

There must be a witch that curses the Warriors around this time in the season to have done this to Ford, the Warriors’ best forward this season.

Defeating the Tigers on the road, the Dolphins took care of business with their stars and will look to continue their winning streak of seven games and turn it into eight, constantly breaking the club record. 

Every contest between these two sides has been decided by six points or less, regardless of venue, and this match is going to be a true match between two different playstyles.

We have the Dolphins winning, given their Origin stars have returned and the Warriors are missing players in the forward pack that could provide some spark, as well as struggling to be clutch at the end of games.

Betting tip: The Dolphins

 

First Try Scorer Prediction 

Herbie Farnworth has scored a try in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that were ranked in the top four.

The Warriors’ weakest points in their lineup are in the centre department, and Farnworth’s all-around game makes him a threat at any stage of the game.

Betting tip: Herbie Farnworth.

 

Over/Under Prediction 

Six of the seven previous matches between the Dolphins and New Zealand have gone under the total match points line.

Betting tip: Under (50.5) total match points

 

Line Prediction

New Zealand have covered this line in their last five games and in every meeting against the Dolphins since 2024. 

Betting tip: Warriors (+6.5) line

 

Dolphins vs Warriors Anytime Try Scorer Betting Tips 

 

Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow has scored at least one try in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that were ranked higher on the ladder.

 

Jack Bostock 

Jack Bostock has scored at least one try in four of his last five appearances at Suncorp Stadium.

 

Selwyn Cobbo 

Selwyn Cobbo has scored at least one try in each of his last four appearances.

 

Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 

Dallin Watene-Zelezniak has scored at least one try in each of New Zealand's last four away matches against opponents that were ranked lower on the ladder.

 

Kurt Capewell 

Kurt Capewell has scored a try in each of his three previous away appearances against the Dolphins.

Dolphins vs Warriors Teams 

 

The Dolphins Team List 

1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

2. Jamayne Isaako

3. Jack Bostock

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Selwyn Cobbo

6. Kodi Nikorima

7. Isaiya Katoa

8. Thomas Flegler

9. Jeremy Marshall-King

10. Francis Molo

11. Connelly Lemuleu

12. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki

13. Morgan Knowles

14. Max Plath

15. Kurt Donoghoe

16. Ray Stone

17. Felise Kaufusi

18. Bradley Schneider

 

New Zealand Warriors Team List 

1. Taine Tuaupiki

2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak

3. Ali Leiataua

4. Adam Pompey

5. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad

6. Chanel Harris-Tavita

7. Te Maire Martin

8. Tanner Stowers-Smith

9. Wayde Egan

10. Mitchell Barnett

11. Jacob Laban

12. Kurt Capewell

13. Erin Clark

14. Sam Healey

15. Eddie Ieremia-Toeava

16. Demitric Vaimauga

17. Marata Niukore

18. Kayliss Fatialofa

 

Dolphins vs Warriors Match Details 

 

Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026. 

Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST. 

Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane. 

Dolphins
New Zealand Warriors

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