Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction and Betting Odds
06/03/2026|SB Staff|NBA Tips & Predictions
OKC will host the Denver Nuggets in another meeting just days after their February encounter, which ended in overtime with OKC winning.
The Thunder would record a 127-121 win after regulation when playing as the hosts. Now, a week or so later, the two teams will do battle once again at the Paycom Center on Tuesday, March 10, at 10:30 AEDT.
Having secured a playoff berth to defend their NBA Championship crown, OKC will be aiming to regain the #1 seed in the West, with a victory needed.
Quick Picks
Our pick: OKC to win
Value bet: Jokic to have a triple-double
Long shot: Thunder to win by 1-10 points
Betting Preview
The Nuggets won't make it easy, as we saw recently. The Nuggets are also expected to be involved in the NBA playoffs betting this season after a strong campaign. Though not guaranteed as of yet, there's a very high chance they'll be involved in the postseason because of what they've managed to achieve so far.
However, if OKC have their stars available once again, it could be a difficult game for the visitors. Shai-Gilgeous Alexander is currently managing an injury, but he featured in the Feb. encounter, recording 36 points. Chet Holmgren also featured, recording a double-double with 15 points and 21 rebounds.
Jamal Murray starred for the Nuggets, recording 39 points while shooting over 50% from three. Nikola Jokic managed 23 points, as did Christian Braun. Jokic had a triple-double in the NBA, as he also had 17 rebounds and 14 assists.
Betting Markets to Watch
There should be value in the OKC handicap market for this game. While OKC are likely favourites, they've shown they can have an up-and-down record, and with the inconsistencies both have shown recently, there's value in OKC covering the spread.
In the last five meetings, OKC are 4-1 against Denver, having won the three previous meetings held at the Paycom Center.
Elsewhere, we think there's going to be value in the triple-double market for Jokic. He has 22 this season so far, and recorded one in the previous meeting. He also achieved one in the game that happened at the beginning of February, which ended in a 121-111 win for OKC. If you're new to how to bet on the NBA, player props like this can offer solid value.
Our Prediction
Check the latest NBA betting odds at Sportsbet.
We are predicting that an OKC win is the most likely outcome of this game. They boast an exceptional record against the Denver Nuggets over the last five games, including winning the last three at home.
As a long shot, we think there will be value in the Big Win Little Win market, with OKC winning by 1-10 points. This has been hit in both of the two meetings this season, and while history suggests it could be higher, the two teams' injury reports are worth considering in terms of their impact on scoring. Remember, the last meeting went to overtime in order to be decided — you can read more about how long overtime is in the NBA and what it means for betting.


