<p>The two teams are both experiencing a decent run of form as we head into the final stretch of the NBA regular season, with both looking likely to be involved in the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/events/nba-playoffs">NBA playoffs</a>. The Spurs are already assured of their place in some capacity, while Miami need to make sure they keep putting wins on the board in a competitive Eastern Conference.</p><h2>Quick Picks</h2><p><strong>Our pick:</strong> Spurs to win</p><p><strong>Value bet:</strong> Heat to cover the handicap</p><p><strong>Long shot:</strong> Spurs to win by 1-10 points</p><h2>Betting Preview</h2><p>As noted, both teams will enter this game in somewhat positive form. The wheels have started to come off a little for Miami, as they experienced back-to-back defeats recently, although they've also managed to go 7-3 over a 10-game stretch prior to their game against the Lakers.</p><p>The Spurs are 8-2 over the same period of games, and sit second in the West. They remain slightly behind the Oklahoma City Thunder in the pursuit of the #1 seed, but they have been forcing OKC's hands in recent weeks, especially as they had once looked uncatchable.</p><p>The Spurs don't do too well when playing against the Heat, especially over the last 20 matches. The Heat are 12-8 over this period, having recently managed a five-game winning streak, aside from the one defeat that occurred this season.</p><p>Indeed, the Spurs have been a different beast this season. In that game, they managed to win 107-101, extremely early in the NBA regular season. Victor Wembanyama scored 27 points for the Spurs, with Stephon Castle scoring 21. Miami's Bam Adebayo had 31, while Andrew Wiggins managed 24.</p><h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p>Given Miami have a good record, it's perhaps worth exploring the value in the handicap market for this game. The Spurs will be the favourites based on how well they've been playing, but it's worth thinking about the Heat in the spread. Games can tend to be close affairs, which leaves value in Miami on the line. If you're new to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-on-the-nba">how to bet on basketball</a>, the handicap market is a great place to start.</p><p>Adebayo could be unavailable, but <strong>Tyler Herro</strong> could be available. He has been performing steadily since returning to the team from injury, which means he may offer value in the player props. We think there'll be <strong>value in the 20+ points market</strong>, as he has regularly surpassed this total this season.</p><h2>Our Prediction</h2><p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/basketball-us/nba">NBA betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p><p>We think the <strong>Spurs are going to be the most likely victors</strong> of this meeting between them and the Heat. They have been exceptional this season, and defeats have been rare.</p><p>Still, as games tend to be close, we think there's value in <strong>Miami's handicap line</strong>. With Herro available, they could keep the game just as tight as they normally are without Adebayo. For more insights, check out our <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/nba/tips">NBA tips and predictions</a>.</p><p>Our long shot is for the <strong>Spurs to win by 1-10 points in the Big Win Little Win market</strong>, based on how tight these games have been in the past.</p><h2>Keep Reading</h2><ul><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/nba/nba-news/nba-positions-explained-basketball-roles">Point guard to centre — every position on the court explained</a></li><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/nba/nba-news/nba-overtime-rules-explained">What happens when 48 minutes isn't enough?</a></li><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/nba/nba-news/what-is-a-triple-double">Triple-doubles explained — and why they matter</a></li></ul>