Six Nations: Scotland vs France Betting Tips & Predictions
05/03/2026|SB Staff|Misc Tips & Predictions
Scotland aren't thought to have too much of a chance against Les Bleus, but can they surprise everyone like they did when they defeated England?
Read on for our top Scotland vs France betting predictions…
Quick Picks
Our pick: France to win
Value bet: Scotland (+10.5) in the handicap
Long shot: Scotland to have over 10.5 points in the 1st half
Betting Preview
Scotland will have some confidence heading into this game, even if they are facing a team that has shown losing isn't in their vocabulary. The Scots are on a run of two consecutive wins, having defeated England and Wales after their shock defeat to Italy in the first weekend.
Games so far have been fairly close for the Scots; they lost to Italy by 3 points (18-15), defeated England by 11 (31-20), and defeated Wales by 3 (26-23). In contrast, France's three wins have all come by quite significant margins.
Les Bleus defeated Ireland 36-14 (22 points) in their first game, beat Wales 54-12 (42 points), and thumped Italy 33-8 (25 points). Indeed, they've become more defensively strong in recent games, allowing lower point totals.
France enter the game unbeaten in their last five. They've won their last three meetings against Scotland, and are 6-4 over the last 10 Six Nations clashes. Last year, they won 35-16, scoring four tries to Scotland's one. For those looking to bet on the Six Nations, this matchup presents some interesting angles.
Betting Markets to Watch
Scotland aren't considered to have a big chance of winning this match with the rugby union international betting odds being offered. However, we think there's value still worth exploring…
The Line market has value worth exploring. Scotland at +10.5 looks good, as they tend to be strong at Murrayfield. They've had success here against Les Bleus, including in 2023 when they won 25-21.
If Russell and Tuipulotu click, they possess the attacking strength to keep the game within reach. With France big favourites, there's a chance they start strong and then coast to victory late on, which could cause complacency.
The Under +55.5 total points also offers value, as both teams have averaged below that number in almost every match that has been played. Murrayfield March weather often dampens totals, and with France chasing title momentum, they won't chase points unnecessarily if ahead. Last year's H2H was 35-16 (51 pts), while the tournament average is around 48 points.
Our Prediction
Check the latest Scotland vs France betting odds at Sportsbet.
Our prediction is that France will win this game. However, we think Scotland will keep it close and cover the handicap given the potential conditions and the strength they've shown recently.
Our long shot is Scotland to have over 10.5 points in the 1st half. They'll have home influence and have had strong starts at Murrayfield recently.


