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Red Sox vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Odds

10/04/2026|SB Staff|Misc Tips & Predictions
Red Sox vs Louis Cardinals
<p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">Games between these two teams have often been tight, which presents potential value worth exploring in the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/events/mlb">MLB odds</a> offered by Sportsbet.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">&nbsp;</p><h2 style="margin-bottom:4pt;margin-top:18pt;">Quick Picks</h2><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;"><strong>Our pick:</strong> Cardinals to win</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;"><strong>Value bet:</strong> May to have under 4.5 strikeouts</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;"><strong>Long shot:</strong> Abreu to hit a home run</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">&nbsp;</p><h2 style="margin-bottom:4pt;margin-top:18pt;">Betting Preview</h2><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">The teams have a near-even all-time record of 28-24 in favour of the Red Sox (53.8% win rate), including 14-14 in regular-season play. Boston currently holds a 4-game head-to-head winning streak, including a 2025 sweep (3-0).</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">They've met four times in the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/events/mlb-world-series">World Series</a> (1946, 1967, 2004, 2013), splitting series wins 2-2. Notable games include Boston's 2004 sweep to end the Curse of the Bambino.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">Looking at more recent data, there's no suggestion that one team might be better off going into this series than the other, either.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">The Boston Red Sox are 3-8 (ahead of their final game against the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday). They are 2-3 when playing as the hosts this regular season, with their poorest performances having come on the road so far. Over their last 10, they are 2-8.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">The St Louis Cardinals still have a game against the Washington Nationals to play (Thursday, on the road) before heading into their contest with the Red Sox. So far, they've been inconsistent, as they've carved a record of near .500 over their games this MLB regular season so far.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">They are 5-5 over their last 10 before that third game against the Nationals, and are 4-2 when hosting games.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">&nbsp;</p><h2 style="margin-bottom:4pt;margin-top:18pt;">Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">The Boston Red Sox may be the poorer team heading into this game, but they may be considered the slight favourites to win.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">However, the <strong>Cardinals as underdogs offer value</strong> worth exploring if this is the case. Their 5-5 record and 4-2 home mark contrast with Boston's poor 2-8 start, 1-5 road woes, and four-game skid.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">In the player props, the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/misc/other-news/mlb-single-season-home-run-record">home run</a> and strikeout markets could offer value for specific players on each team in Game 1.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;"><strong>Dustin May could be one of those in the pitching markets</strong>, as he opens for the Cardinals. There may be value in him <strong>having 2+ strikeouts</strong>, as this game looks favourable for his style, with Boston slumping. Still, it's worth considering this total to be <strong>under 4.5</strong>, as he hasn't been at his best and his numbers are all over the place.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;"><strong>Wilyer Abreu could offer value to hit a home run</strong> in this game, as the Red Sox slugger has already hit 3 in 10 games so far. <strong>Nolan Gorman for the Cardinals</strong> is another, as he has two this season.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">&nbsp;</p><h2 style="margin-bottom:4pt;margin-top:18pt;">Our Prediction</h2><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/events/mlb">baseball betting</a> at Sportsbet.</p><p style="line-height:1.38;margin-bottom:12pt;margin-top:12pt;">Our prediction is that we think the <strong>Cardinals will likely be the winners</strong>, with this potentially offering value if they enter the game as perceived underdogs.</p>

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