The Milan-San Remo cycling race will take place on Saturday, March 21, at 20:00 AEDT, with some of the world's elite riders competing.
It is the first Monument of the cycling season, a nearly 300-km one‑day race from Milan to Sanremo on the Ligurian coast. It is famous for being relatively "easy to ride but very hard to win" and for producing ultra‑fine margins in the final 10 km.
It is the longest top‑level one‑day race at roughly 290-300 km, held in mid‑March and known as "La Classicissima".
Quick Picks
Our pick: Tadej Pogacar to win
Value bet: Ganna in the each-way
Long shot: Philipsen as an each-way
Betting Preview
It is one of cycling's five Monuments and is regarded as prestigious but tactically subtle rather than brutally selective.
The first 200 km are mostly flat or rolling, with early breakaways, peloton control, pure endurance, and energy management often occurring throughout. The race begins to heat up along the coast with the sequence of short climbs: the three Capi (Capo Mele, Capo Cervo, Capo Berta), then the Cipressa (about 5.6 km at ~4%) and finally the Poggio (~3.7 km at just under 4%, with ramps to around 8%).
Attacks often go on the Cipressa and especially the Poggio; positioning into these climbs is critical because the Poggio crests with roughly 5-6 km to go, followed by a very fast, technical descent and a flat run‑in to the line.
Betting Markets to Watch
When it comes to betting in this upcoming race, it's perhaps worth considering the each-way bet, given how short the odds are for the favourites like Tadej Pogacar and Mathieu Van Der Poel.
As a result, Jasper Philipsen is an option that may offer value in the three paid places. As a durable sprinter, if the race does indeed become a sprint, and he survives the Poggio, his podium equity is huge relative to his win price.
He already won Milan-San Remo in 2024, in the fastest edition ever, beating Matthews and Pogačar from a reduced, elite group sprint after a very hard race over Cipressa and Poggio. That proves he can both survive the climbs at full gas and still produce a winning kick after ~300 km.
Filippo Ganna could also offer value as an outsider. He has twice finished second at Milan-San Remo (2023 and 2025), both times in elite company with Van der Poel and Pogačar, which shows he is already operating on the true‑win frontier of this race. He has improved in climbing, has huge flat power, and a serious finishing kick, which makes him a potential winner.
Our Prediction
You can check out our latest Cycling betting odds to place a bet on the upcoming 2026 Milan-San Remo race.
We think the value is in the each-way for this race. If pushed, we think Tadej Pogacar will win the race, while Filippo Ganna could challenge for a spot on the podium for value.
Jasper Philipsen also offers plenty of value based on how he raced here in 2024.
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